"Net Pool Pricing Is Here To Stay" by Jim Lambert Founder Horse-Race-Handicapping.com Net Pool Pricing (NPP) is here to
stay in the U. S. The United States government eliminated the 30%
withholding tax on foreign winning pari-mutuel wagers in October 2004, which removed one
of the barriers preventing Canada to commingle with U. S. tracks. However, one of
the CPMA (Canadian Pari-Mutuel Agency) requirements for this to occur is to change the U.S. host track's
pricing package from Gross Pool Pricing (GPP), also known as Standard Pool Pricing
(SPP), to Net Pool Pricing (NPP). This upgrade to NPP enables U.S. and Canadian tracks to deal with foreign tax rates
and currency values. Everybody who goes to the OTB and bets Belmont Park or Aqueduct these days has to have noticed the message at the bottom of the monitor that reads "THE NYRA USES NET POOL PRICING." This message alerts bettors that when they make a bet on tracks within the jurisdiction of the NYRA (New York Racing Association) that their bets are part of a commingled pool and their payouts are computed within the framework of Net Pool Pricing. How the heck does NPP work? Imagine you are making a bet on a horse online from your computer in a betting jurisdiction where the take-out is legally 14%. And imagine your cousin is making the same bet on the same horse, but from another betting jurisdiction where the take-out is legally 20%. The bets by you and your cousin end up in separate wagering pools at the host track, and if the horse (that both of you bet) wins, you and your cousin will receive different payouts. This is where Net Pool Pricing comes in. It's a way to guarantee that everybody gets the take-out that their jurisdiction requires by law. A Nuts and Bolts Example: Before we get into the details of NPP, let's look at the original industry standard, Gross Pool Pricing. Here is the one and only Win pool, showing how much money is bet to win on each horse in the race, where a take-out of 17% will be applied to every dollar wagered.
It looks like #3 is getting a lot of action. Let's see what he pays to win. In Gross Pool Pricing, we follow a step-by-step procedure. 2. Total To Be Returned To Holders Of Winning Tickets =
Running A Business: $83,000 will be distributed to the holders of winning tickets. Why not the whole $100,000? Because the track would go broke in a couple of weeks if it returned all of the money that was wagered on a race. The $17,000 take-out helps to pay for purses, operating expenses like air conditioning, water and power, employee salaries and benefits, and federal, state, and municipal excise taxes. So how is the remaining $83,000 distributed? Let's return to our example. 3. The Return On Each $1 Wagered On The Winner = If you are mathematically inclined, feel free to follow the above steps for horse #1. This will yield the payout on a $2 win bet on #1 (should he win instead of #3). The answer is $16.60. And, when you perform the computation, you will discover there is no breakage in this particular example. This wraps up our look at Gross Pool Pricing. But it's Net Pool Pricing that we want to know about, so let's set up
another example. Let's use the hypothetical wagers we described at the very beginning of this article. Imagine you are making a bet on a horse online from your computer in a betting jurisdiction where the take-out is legally 14%. And imagine your cousin is making the same bet on the same horse, but from another betting jurisdiction where the take-out is legally 20%. Both of the bets by you and your cousin end up in the same wagering pool, but if the horse (that both of you bet) wins you and your cousin will receive different payouts. This is where Net Pool Pricing comes in. There are two Win pools in our example. Pool A has a 14% take-out and Pool B has a 20% take-out. Here is Pool A:
Here is Pool B:
Notice that if we add the money bet in Pool A to the money bet in Pool B we get the same Win Pool as our Gross Pool Pricing example:
This is no accident. We set up the example this way in order to
make a point. This example will illustrate how Net Pool Pricing can alter
the winning payoff even if the total dollars bet on a horse does not
change. In Net Pool Pricing, we follow a step-by-step procedure. Total Take-Out Pool B = Total Win Pool B X Take-Out Percent 2. Total Net Pool A = Total Win Pool A - Total Take-Out
Pool A Total Net Pool B = Total Win Pool B - Total Take-Out
Pool B 3. Total Net Pool = Total Net Pool A + Total Net Pool
B 4. Net Winnings Pool A = Total Winnings Pool A X Net
Factor Pool A
The Net Factor Pool A = 1.00 - .14 = 0.86, where .14 represents the 14% take-out for Pool A. 5. Net Winnings Pool B = Total Winnings Pool B X Net
Factor Pool B
The Net Factor Pool B = 1.00 - .20 = 0.80, where .20 represents the 20% take-out for Pool B. 6. Total Net Winnings = Total Net Winnings Pool A +
Total Net Winnings Pool B 7. Now that we have Total Net Pool and Total Net Winnings, we are ready to compute a Net Payout. First we need the Calculating Pool, which is the net dollars that are returned to holders of winning tickets. Calculating Pool
= Total Net Pool - Total Net Winnings So there you have it. Three identical bets and three different payouts:
Remember, you made your bet (in Pool A) with a 14% take-out, and your cousin made his bet (in Pool B) with a 20% take-out, so you would expect to get a better payout than your cousin and you do. $4.20 is better than $3.80 for the same bet any day. If we did the calculations for a $2 win on the #1 horse , and if #1 wins here are the resulting payoffs:
Final Thoughts: Now if we really wanted to have a headache, we'd look at the
calculations that determine the effect of
Net Pool Pricing (NPP) on place and show bets. Generally, NPP
effects place and show bets the same as win bets. There is one
dramatic exception. We know from experience that with Gross Pool
Pricing (GPP), when a heavily bet favorite finishes in the money, the
place and show prices of the other two in-the-money finishers are often
reduced to $2.10 as a direct result. With NPP, the place and show
prices of the two in-the-money finishers other than the favorite are often
much more generous. This is due to the fact that NPP calculates the
payout for each horse independently, unlike GPP. |