KENTUCKY DERBY COMPUTER ANALYSIS
 FOR MUDDY OR SLOPPY TRACK CONDITION
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The Kentucky Derby 2007 Special

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Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com Patented Computer Analysis For The 2007 Kentucky Derby
 

May 5, 2007   133rd  Kentucky Derby   1 1/4 Miles    Purse $2,000,000 Added

Pgm#

Horse

Track ML

Computer ML

  
Horse-Race-Handicapping Comment

Computer Score

Computer Rank

1

SEDGEFIELD

50-1

25-1

Moves Up The Depth Chart In The Mud With Influence Of Theatrical

88

12

2

CURLIN

7-2

6-1

Son Of Smart Strike [Like Sedgefield] Should Handle Mud

101

3

3

ZANJERO

30-1

35-1

This Closer Is Not Bred To Run Well At All In The Mud Or Slop

80

16

4

STORM IN MAY 30-1 20-1 Storm Cat And In Reality Influences Mean He Loves An Off Track 89 11

5

IMAWILDANDCRAZYGUY 50-1 62-1 Sun Or Rain This Horse Is Badly Outclassed In Derby 74 20

6

COWTOWN CAT

20-1

14-1

Storm Cat And Forty Niner Influence Could Help On An Off Track

96

8

7

STREET SENSE

4-1

8-1

Off Track Pedigree Is Neutral At Best Moving Him Down The Depth Chart

98

6

8

HARD SPUN

15-1

9-2

Son Of Danzig Should Relish An Off Track [Another Smarty Jones?]

103

1

9

LIQUIDITY

30-1

40-1

Off Track Pedigree Neutral But Front Running Style Will Help In Mud

79

17

10

TEUFLESBERG

30-1

34-1

Speedster Should Like Off Track But Pedigree Doesn't Support Claim

83

15

11

BWANA BULL 50-1 50-1 Son Of Holy Bull Has No Chance In Derby On Any Racing Surface 76 19

12

NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ

8-1

5-1

Go For Gin And Storm Cat Influences Make 'Shobiz' Dangerous In Mud

101

2

13

SAM P

20-1

16-1

Son Of Cat Thief Is An Exotics Possible On Off Track

92

10

14

SCAT DADDY

10-1

10-1

Pedigree Won't Hurt Him In Mud But He Still Lags Behind Top Picks

97

7

15

TIAGO

15-1

15-1

Son Of Pleasant Tap Has Off Track Pedigree Despite Closing Style

94

9

16

CIRCULAR QUAY

8-1

6-1

Off Track Pedigree Not That Impressive But the Horse Sure Is

100

4

17

STORMELLO

30-1

45-1

Pretty Good Off Track Pedigree Means He Could Set Early Pace

77

18

18

ANY GIVEN SATURDAY

12-1

27-1

Decent Off Track Pedigree But He Has A Lot To Overcome

85

13

19

DOMINICAN

20-1

30-1

He Moves Up On Off Track But Must Still Contend With Outside Post

84

14

20

GREAT HUNTER

15-1

7-1

Moves Up On Off Track Which Helps Negate The Far Outside Post

99

5

www.Horse-Race-Handicapping.com                                   Picks:  8 - 12 - 2 - 16


Picks: Hard Spun (8) - Nobiz Like Shobiz (12) - Curlin (2) - Circular Quay (16)   

OK, everybody, here it is, the Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com $100 Bankroll plays.


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Kentucky Derby

Comprehensive Strategy
$100 Bankroll

We follow a variety of strategies using exactly $100.

Wager Recommendation  
$100 Bankroll

$10 Win-Place  8  ($20)
$3 Exacta  2/8/12 with 2/8/12/16/20  ($36)
$2 Exacta  8/12 with 6/7/14/15  ($16)
$1 Trifecta  8 with 2/12/16/20 with 2/6/7/12/14/15/16/20  ($28)
Total Wagers  $100
Total Payout  $49

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Kentucky Derby

Alternative Superfecta Strategy
$100 Bankroll

We follow an all superfecta strategy using exactly $100.

Wager Recommendation  
$100 Bankroll

$1 Superfecta  8/12 with 2/8/12 with 2/7/8/12/16/20 with 2/6/7/8/12/14/15/16/20  ($96)
$1 Superfecta  16 with 8 with 12 with 2/4/7/15  ($4)
Total Wagers  $100
Total Payout  $0

Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com      

 

Kentucky Derby

Alternative Trifecta Strategy
$100 Bankroll

We follow an all trifecta strategy using exactly $100.

Wager Recommendation  
$100 Bankroll

$1 Trifecta  8/12 with 2/8/12 with ALL  ($72)
$1 Trifecta  12 with ALL with 16  ($18)
$1 Trifecta  16 with 2/6/7/8/12/13/14/15/18/20 with 4  ($10)
Total Wagers  $100
Total Payout  $0

Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com      


For bettors who prefer traditional win-place-show options  Horse-Race-Handicapping.com has a win-place-show strategy for you.

Kentucky Derby

Alternative Win-Place-Show Strategy
$100 Bankroll

We follow an all mutuel strategy using exactly $100.

Wager Recommendation  
$100 Bankroll

$25 Win-Place-Show  8  ($75)
$25 Win 12  ($25)
Total Wagers  $100
Total Payout  $210

Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com      



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