What should jump out at you is the tremendous overlay on Andromeda's Hero.  I doubt you'll get the Track ML odds of 15-1 on him, but who cares.  We at Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com have determined the correct odds (the Computer ML) for Andromeda's Hero are 9-2.  We have him picked second behind Afleet Alex, and we suggest big exacta boxes between these two horses (#7 and #9 in your program) but we put up a red flag on betting Afleet Alex to win.  Don't do it!  We rate him at 5-2 and he will surely go off at even money or less.   Even if he wins, it's like kissing your sister.  Your win bets need to be on Andromeda's Hero or possibly Southern Africa.  As for your exacta, trifecta, superfecta, and Pick-4 bets, Afleet Alex is a must in those bets.  Do not forget he is rated by Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com as the probable winner.  There is no value in betting him to win, though.

Southern Africa Track ML odds are over Computer ML odds, and this offers us some value.  The true value lies with Andromeda's Hero.  There is "exotics" value on almost all the long shots because Afleet Alex is so undervalued.  Nolan's Cat (#1), Pinpoint (#2), A.P. Arrow (#3), Watchmon (#6), Andromeda's Hero (#7), and Indy Storm (#10) are all high-priced horses with great value in the exotics.  That means that although they do not have a great chance to win, they have a tremendous chance to invade the exactas, trifectas, and superfectas (see the Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com $100 Bankroll plays).  The worst valued horse in the race is Giacomo.  We have detected a probable sluggish pace in the 2005 edition of the Belmont, and that is pure poison for a true closer like Giacomo.  Computer ML odds are 14-1 compared to Track ML odds of 4-1.  You must understand that although there is no value on Giacomo, he is still rated 7th in the field of 11 by Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com.  The implication is that he should probably be included in your trifectas and superfectas.

OK, everybody, here it is, the Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com $100 Bankroll plays.

Picks: Afleet Alex (9) - Andromeda's Hero (7) - Southern Africa (4) - Reverberate (8)  

2005 Belmont Stakes

Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com Hits It Big! 

$100 Bankroll Plays Returns $1,064.50.

Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com $100 Bankroll Plays:

$1 Trifecta Picks:

9 / 7 with 9 / 7 / 4 / 8 with ALL  ($54)

$1  Trifecta  (9-7-1)  Paid $624.50



$20 Exacta Box

9 with 7 ($40)

$20  Exacta  (9-7)  Paid $440.00



$1 Superfecta Picks:

9 / 7 with 9 / 7 with 4 with 8 / 3 / 2 ($6)

2005 Belmont Stakes Review
 
Afleet Alex, a son of Northern Afleet, did his best imitation of a speeding locomotive to claim the third and final leg of the Triple Crown, the Belmont Stakes, as the betting favorite.  Afleet Alex is owned by the Cash Is King limited partnership headed by Chuck Zacney, and trained by Delaware native Tim Ritchey.  Jeremy Rose is the winning rider.  As we anticipated, Andromeda's Hero saved face for Nick Zito by rallying strongly for the place. Giacomo, again as we predicted, was badly compromised by the pace and tired badly in the stretch, failing to hit the board.

Results and Payoffs:

For those math wizards out there, here is a visual tool which illustrates how close the 2005 Belmont combatants were rated by the Racing Attribute Computer Evaluation (R.A.C.E.) program developed by the founder of Horse-Race-Handicapping.com, Jim Lambert.




 

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