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Hard Spun

Hard Spun won his first four races by a combined 28 lengths, but then he lost in the Southwest (at Oaklawn Park) as the 1-to-2 favorite. He bounced back to easily win the Lane's End (on Polytrack) at Turfway and, as we all know, ran the race of his life to finish 2nd to Street Sense in the Kentucky Derby.  Hard Spun came back down to earth in the Preakness, but still ran a very respectable 3rd under difficult circumstances.  He had little choice but to run into the teeth of a suicidal pace, and then had to deal with the intimidating late moves of Curlin and Street Sense.  Hard Spun held on for a third place finish in the Preakness, beaten only 4 1/2 lengths, in perhaps the fastest Preakness in history.  Now Hard Spun is ready to try his luck in the Belmont Stakes.  Hard Spun must somehow nurse his brilliant speed for the entire 1 and 1/2 miles of the Belmont.  There will no speed bias or sharp turns to aid him, either.  Hard Spun is sired by the top stallion Danzig, who died in 2006 at the age of 29.  Danzig sired 107 graded stakes winners in his lifetime.  The sire of Danzig is Northern Dancer, the 1964 Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner.  Northern Dancer was small for a champion, standing at only 14 hands 2 1/2 inches, but he defeated his competitors with brilliant speed and a big heart.  About 75% of modern thoroughbreds can be traced back to Northern Dancer.  Northern Dancer, the sire of champions, died in 1990.  Turkish Tryst is Hard Spun's dam.  Turkish Tryst , a daughter of Turkoman, injects great stamina into the pedigree of Hard Spun.  However, being a grandson of Northern Dancer is not necessarily an advantage in the Belmont.  Danzig is out of the mare Pas De Nom, primarily a pure speed influence, and this further restricts Hard Spun at the classic distances.  Pace will be a critical factor in determining Hard Spun's chances in the Belmont.  The presence of Slew's Tizzy and Rags To Riches will be complicating factors for Hard Spun, and so will the 1 and 1/2 mile distance.  Hard Spun enters the third and final installment of the 2007 Triple Crown already having worked incredibly hard.  He will need a slow pace, and he might not get it.  An aside, owner Rick Porter is close to finalizing a deal that will assign the breeding rights of Hard Spun to Darley Stable, which recently acquired the rights to Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense.

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 139th Belmont  2007 Edition
 
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Digger

On Wednesday morning, June 6, the connections of Digger withdrew him from consideration for the Belmont. 

Owner Larry Roman, a native of Queens, got his start in harness racing, not thoroughbred racing, and he was an accomplished amateur driver at one time.  He is the owner of a Manhattan-based plumbing company, and he has an eye for the spotlight.  He owned Lawrence The Roman, once a rising star in the New York bred ranks, who won the Damon Runyon Stakes in December 2006 but has subsequently been retired.  Roman must have caught Triple Crown fever with Lawrence The Roman, because about 5 weeks ago he purchased Maryland-bred Digger from William Wise for $60,000, and turned him over to New York-based trainer Richard Dutrow, Jr. (trainer of Lawrence The Roman).  Digger was briefly considered run in the Belmont, a race for which Digger would have been woefully inadequate.  With 2 wins in 8 overall starts, and a recent loss in a Charles Town conditioned allowance race, Digger had no chance to win.  His best effort in a stakes race was a 3rd place finish in a field of 5, and that was against (Maryland) state-breds (at Laurel).  His best overall effort was a runaway maiden allowance victory (also at Laurel), but even if he were to repeat his performance from that race, he would have no chance in the Belmont.  His pedigree is not suited for the classics, and the best we could have expected from Digger is brief to moderate pace, and then he would have folded like a house of cards in a hurricane.

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Circular Quay

On Tuesday morning, June 5, the connections of Circular Quay withdrew him from consideration for the Belmont.

Let's take a look at him anyway.  Todd Pletcher was convinced that 'Quay' was his best shot at a Derby victory for 2007. Pletcher's decision to rest 'Quay' for the 8 weeks (actually 57 days) leading up to the Derby was an attempt to bring Circular Quay in very fresh. The brief freshening probably is not the cause of Circular Quay's lackluster sixth place finish in the Derby.  His style is to lay back and make one big ferocious run, and Pletcher knew that he would be able to do that just fine with an 8 week rest. It just didn't work out as planned in the Kentucky Derby.  The only drawback on Circular Quay is that he has not yet registered a superior speed figure. His Kentucky Derby performance was a respectable performance, but not a championship performance.  He passed twelve horses from the three-quarters mark to the finish, but he was still beaten by more than nine lengths by Street Sense, and he finished behind two also-rans, Imawildandcrazyguy and Sedgefield.  His Preakness performance at first appearance was not unlike his Derby performance.  He finished fifth (beaten about 7 lengths) in the Preakness.  He finished sixth (beaten about 10 lengths) in the Kentucky Derby.  In both Triple Crown races he passed several horses from the three-quarters mark to the finish.  But in the Preakness, he averaged just over 6 seconds for each sixteenth from the three-quarters mark to the finish.  That is a determined and fast finish.  Circular Quay did this over a speed favoring track, granted he was aided by a wicked fast pace.  The bottom line is that Circular Quay could not have been overlooked in a 1 1/2 mile race over the Belmont course of the same distance, had he run.  But with 4 wins in 9 overall starts, Circular Quay is beginning to show some chinks in the armor.  But 'Quay' would have have been good enough to figure in the outcome of the Belmont, and would have been a serious candidate.  Circular Quay is a son of Thunder Gulch, winner of 8 graded stakes including the 1995 Kentucky Derby and Belmont. Gulch, the sire of Thunder Gulch, is a son of Mr. Prospector. Northern Dancer is present in both the sire and dam lines of Circular Quay. The combination of Mr. Prospector and Northern Dancer injects superior class Circular Quay's aptitude, but possibly limit his outlook for the classic distances.

 139th Belmont  2007 Edition
 
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2007 Preakness Review

There will be no Triple Crown winner in 2007 as Curlin runs down Street Sense in the last jump in one of the most exciting Preakness Stakes in history.  Calvin Borel had Street Sense in front with 100 yards to go and looked to be a winner until Curlin (under rider Robbie Albarado) commenced a fierce rally to the outside of Street Sense and nipped the Derby champ at the wire.  The time for the 1 3/16 miles of the Preakness (at Pimlico in Baltimore, Maryland) was 1:53.46 (ties for the fastest Preakness in history).  Hard Spun held third and C P West secured fourth. 

12th Race
132nd Preakness (Grade 1)

Times in 5ths:  :22⁴  :45³  1:09⁴  1:34³  1:53²
Times in 100ths:  :22.83  :45.75  1:09.80  1:34.68  1:53.46
 
Also ran: C P West, Circular Quay, King of the Roxy, Mint Slewlep, Xchanger and Flying First Class
Winning Trainer: Asmussen Steven M - Owner: Stonestreet Stables, Padua Stables, Bolton, George and Midnight Cry Stables
 
$2   Exacta  (4-8)  Paid $23.20
$1   Superfecta  (4-8-7-9)  Paid $340.30
$2   Trifecta  (4-8-7)  Paid $50.00