132nd Preakness  May 19
The Preakness Watch 2007
From Horse-Race-Handicapping.com

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Flying First Class
 
The Derby Trial (run at Churchill Downs April 28) is no longer a graded stakes, but it still a high quality race, and Flying First Class dominated the 2007 edition with ease.  He wired a tough field by setting fractions of 44.16 for the half and 108.67 for three-quarters on his way to 129.28 for the seven and one-half panels.  He will probably carry that speed from Churchill Downs to Pimlico, and that makes him a concern for the other speedsters in the Preakness.  The Derby Trial was the fifth race for Flying First Class, and the prior two were the Rebel and the Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn, both won convincingly by Curlin.  Flying First Class held his own in both of those graded stakes until about the eighth pole, where Curlin really turned it on.  Flying First Class ended up 8th and 6th, respectively, in the Rebel and the Arkansas Derby.  The problem for Flying First Class is the overall strength of the Preakness field, but we don't discount his talent, or his trainer D Wayne Lukas.

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It's time to concentrate on the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico, Maryland, May 19, 2007.  Once the final weather reports are in late Thursday evening, May 17, 2007, I will be running my proprietary computer program on the Preakness.  And results will be published, along with wager recommendations, very late Thursday evening.  I ask a nominal fee of only $4.79 to receive the Preakness Computer Analysis link.  For details  click here.  For Preakness contenders  click here.

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www.Horse-Race-Handicapping.com
 

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 The Kentucky Derby 2007
 
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ARTICLES

The Kentucky Derby Jinx [An Excerpt From HORSING AROUND:  A GUIDE FOR THE EVERYDAY HORSEPLAYER  Released 2007]
Slew's Tizzy Earns Free Ticket to Derby    April 21
Dominican Gets The Nod On Street Sense In Grade 1 Blue Grass Stakes    April 14
Business As Usual For Curlin In Grade 2 Arkansas Derby  April 14
Huge Upset By Tiago In Santa Anita Derby    April 7
Nobiz Like Shobiz Impresses In Grade 1 Wood Memorial    April 7
Grade 1 Florida Derby Belongs to Scat Daddy    March 31
Hard Spun Outstanding In Lane's End    March 24
Street Sense Wins Extended Duel In Tampa Bay Derby   March 17
Curlin Opens Plenty Of Eyes In Grade 3 Rebel March 17
Cowtown Cat Sizzles In Grade 3 Gotham March 10

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Circular Quay Turns It Up A Notch In Louisiana Derby March 10
Great Hunter Dominates Robert B. Lewis March 3
Scat Daddy By A Nose (Hair) In Fountain Of Youth March 3
Teuflesberg Wires Southwest While Hard Spun Spins Wheels February 19
Any Given Saturday Victorious In Sam F. Davis February 17
Circular Quay Victim Of Traffic Jam February 10
Shobiz Lays Down The Gauntlet February 3

 

Kentucky Derby 2007
Rankings By Graded Stakes Earnings 

RANKING

HORSE

1

STREET SENSE

2

SCAT DADDY

3

CIRCULAR QUAY

4

CURLIN

5

NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ

6

GREAT HUNTER

7

STORMELLO

8

DOMINICAN

9

TIAGO

10

COWTOWN CAT

11

HARD SPUN

12

STORM IN MAY
13

ZANJERO

14

ANY GIVEN SATURDAY

15

LIQUIDITY

16

SAM P

17

SEDGEFIELD

18

BWANA BULL

19

TEUFLESBERG

20

IMAWILDANDCRAZYGUY

The above Earnings Rankings include only those horses that are intending on running in the Kentucky Derby, May 5, 2007.
Kentucky Derby 2007
Post Positions [And Program Number]
 

PGM NO.

HORSE

1

SEDGEFIELD

2

CURLIN

3

ZANJERO

4

STORM IN MAY

5

IMAWILDANDCRAZYGUY

6

COWTOWN CAT

7

STREET SENSE

8

HARD SPUN

9

LIQUIDITY

10

TEUFLESBERG

11

BWANA BULL

12

NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ
13

SAM P.

14

SCAT DADDY

15

TIAGO

16

CIRCULAR QUAY

17

STORMELLO

18

ANY GIVEN SATURDAY

19

DOMINICAN

20

GREAT HUNTER
The Preakness 2007 Probables  
 

HORSE

CURLIN

HARD SPUN

STREET SENSE

KING OF THE ROXY

C P WEST

FLYING FIRST CLASS

XCHANGER

MINT SLEWLEP

CIRCULAR QUAY
Preakness Stakes 2007
Post Positions
 

PGM NO.

HORSE

JOCKEY

1

MINT SLEWLEP

ALAN GARCIA

2

XCHANGER

RAMON DOMINGUEZ

3

CIRCULAR QUAY

J R VELASQUEZ

4

CURLIN

ROBBIE ALBARADO

5

KING OF THE ROXY

GARRETT GOMEZ

6

FLYING FIRST CLASS

MARK GUIDRY

7

HARD SPUN

MARIO PINO

8

STREET SENSE

CALVIN BOREL

9

C P WEST

EDGAR PRADO

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'Tizzy' Stuns Crowd In Lexington Stakes
A week after Dominican paid $18.00 to win the Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland, long shot Slew's Tizzy ($83.00) claimed victory in the Lexington Stakes, the final graded Derby prep.  The irony of the success of Keeneland's new Polytrack racing surface (installed in time for the 2007 meet) is that the results of the Keeneland Derby preps should have little or no impact on the results of the Kentucky Derby except possibly influencing who gets in.  Why, do you ask?  Because Polytrack performance generally does not translate into dirt performance.  Remember, the Kentucky Derby is still run on dirt.  The Lexington Stakes is contested at 1 1/16 miles on the artificial surface, and Slew's Tizzy negotiated the distance in 1:43.20. 

Slew's Tizzy, until today, was best known for his spill in the Risen Star Stakes that nearly cost Derby contender Circular Quay his chance for glory.  As it turned out Circular Quay evaded injury thanks to good fortune and the quick reactions of rider J. R. Velazquez.  In the Lexington, Robbie Albarado (James Graham rode Slew's Tizzy in the Risen Star) placed 'Tizzy' on or near the lead going into the 1st turn and he never relinquished the lead although headed briefly by Soaring By.  Leading up to the Lexington, Slew's Tizzy had only one victory in five starts, but it was on Keeneland's Polytrack.  By virtue of the $195,000 payday, Slew's Tizzy is assured a spot in the Kentucky Derby if his connections want it. 

On a dirt surface Slew's Tizzy is 0 for 3 and his best performance is a 7th place finish in the Louisiana Derby, about 11 1/2 lengths shy of the winner Circular Quay.  On the positive side 'Tizzy' has only six lifetime starts, so maybe he is peaking at the right time.  But maybe not.  That's the problem with Polytrack preps, they don't offer much in the way of useful information.  An aside, the fleet of foot Xchanger won the un-graded Tesio Stakes at Pimlico today by 8 lengths, and Xchanger would have a better chance than Slew's Tizzy to do well in the Kentucky Derby.