132nd Preakness  May 19
The Preakness Watch 2007
From Horse-Race-Handicapping.com
 
  
Jim Lambert
Founder Horse-Race-Handicapping.com

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ARTICLES

The Kentucky Derby Jinx [An Excerpt From HORSING AROUND:  A GUIDE FOR THE EVERYDAY HORSEPLAYER  Released 2007]
Slew's Tizzy Earns Free Ticket to Derby    April 21
Dominican Gets The Nod On Street Sense In Grade 1 Blue Grass Stakes    April 14
Business As Usual For Curlin In Grade 2 Arkansas Derby  April 14
Huge Upset By Tiago In Santa Anita Derby    April 7
Nobiz Like Shobiz Impresses In Grade 1 Wood Memorial    April 7
Grade 1 Florida Derby Belongs to Scat Daddy    March 31
Hard Spun Outstanding In Lane's End    March 24
Street Sense Wins Extended Duel In Tampa Bay Derby   March 17
Curlin Opens Plenty Of Eyes In Grade 3 Rebel March 17
Cowtown Cat Sizzles In Grade 3 Gotham March 10

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Circular Quay Turns It Up A Notch In Louisiana Derby March 10
Great Hunter Dominates Robert B. Lewis March 3
Scat Daddy By A Nose (Hair) In Fountain Of Youth March 3
Teuflesberg Wires Southwest While Hard Spun Spins Wheels February 19
Any Given Saturday Victorious In Sam F. Davis February 17
Circular Quay Victim Of Traffic Jam February 10
Shobiz Lays Down The Gauntlet February 3

 

Kentucky Derby 2007
Rankings By Graded Stakes Earnings 

RANKING

HORSE

1

STREET SENSE

2

SCAT DADDY

3

CIRCULAR QUAY

4

CURLIN

5

NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ

6

GREAT HUNTER

7

STORMELLO

8

DOMINICAN

9

TIAGO

10

COWTOWN CAT

11

HARD SPUN

12

STORM IN MAY
13

ZANJERO

14

ANY GIVEN SATURDAY

15

LIQUIDITY

16

SAM P

17

SEDGEFIELD

18

BWANA BULL

19

TEUFLESBERG

20

IMAWILDANDCRAZYGUY

The above Earnings Rankings include only those horses that are intending on running in the Kentucky Derby, May 5, 2007.
Kentucky Derby 2007
Post Positions [And Program Number]
 

PGM NO.

HORSE

1

SEDGEFIELD

2

CURLIN

3

ZANJERO

4

STORM IN MAY

5

IMAWILDANDCRAZYGUY

6

COWTOWN CAT

7

STREET SENSE

8

HARD SPUN

9

LIQUIDITY

10

TEUFLESBERG

11

BWANA BULL

12

NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ
13

SAM P.

14

SCAT DADDY

15

TIAGO

16

CIRCULAR QUAY

17

STORMELLO

18

ANY GIVEN SATURDAY

19

DOMINICAN

20

GREAT HUNTER
The Preakness 2007 Probables  
 

HORSE

CURLIN

HARD SPUN

STREET SENSE

KING OF THE ROXY

C P WEST

FLYING FIRST CLASS

XCHANGER

MINT SLEWLEP

CIRCULAR QUAY
Preakness Stakes 2007
Post Positions
 

PGM NO.

HORSE

JOCKEY

1

MINT SLEWLEP

ALAN GARCIA

2

XCHANGER

RAMON DOMINGUEZ

3

CIRCULAR QUAY

J R VELAZQUEZ

4

CURLIN

ROBBIE ALBARADO

5

KING OF THE ROXY

GARRETT GOMEZ

6

FLYING FIRST CLASS

MARK GUIDRY

7

HARD SPUN

MARIO PINO

8

STREET SENSE

CALVIN BOREL

9

C P WEST

EDGAR PRADO

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'Tizzy' Stuns Crowd In Lexington Stakes
A week after Dominican paid $18.00 to win the Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland, long shot Slew's Tizzy ($83.00) claimed victory in the Lexington Stakes, the final graded Derby prep.  The irony of the success of Keeneland's new Polytrack racing surface (installed in time for the 2007 meet) is that the results of the Keeneland Derby preps should have little or no impact on the results of the Kentucky Derby except possibly influencing who gets in.  Why, do you ask?  Because Polytrack performance generally does not translate into dirt performance.  Remember, the Kentucky Derby is still run on dirt.  The Lexington Stakes is contested at 1 1/16 miles on the artificial surface, and Slew's Tizzy negotiated the distance in 1:43.20. 

Slew's Tizzy, until today, was best known for his spill in the Risen Star Stakes that nearly cost Derby contender Circular Quay his chance for glory.  As it turned out Circular Quay evaded injury thanks to good fortune and the quick reactions of rider J. R. Velazquez.  In the Lexington, Robbie Albarado (James Graham rode Slew's Tizzy in the Risen Star) placed 'Tizzy' on or near the lead going into the 1st turn and he never relinquished the lead although headed briefly by Soaring By.  Leading up to the Lexington, Slew's Tizzy had only one victory in five starts, but it was on Keeneland's Polytrack.  By virtue of the $195,000 payday, Slew's Tizzy is assured a spot in the Kentucky Derby if his connections want it. 

On a dirt surface Slew's Tizzy is 0 for 3 and his best performance is a 7th place finish in the Louisiana Derby, about 11 1/2 lengths shy of the winner Circular Quay.  On the positive side 'Tizzy' has only six lifetime starts, so maybe he is peaking at the right time.  But maybe not.  That's the problem with Polytrack preps, they don't offer much in the way of useful information.  An aside, the fleet of foot Xchanger won the un-graded Tesio Stakes at Pimlico today by 8 lengths, and Xchanger would have a better chance than Slew's Tizzy to do well in the Kentucky Derby.

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A footnote to the Lexington, lukewarm favorite Belgravia (9-to-5 odds) finished last in his 2007 debut and set up some astronomical payoffs.  Slew's Tizzy won at odds of 40-to-1 and Starbase finished second at odds of 36-to-1, delivering a $1,002.20 exacta payoff for $2  Forty Grams finished third at odds of 5-to-1 resulting in a huge $14,726.20 trifecta payout for a $2 ticket (that's $7,363.10 for a dollar before the IRS man finds you).

"Dominican Gets The Nod On Street Sense In Grade 1 Blue Grass Stakes"
 by Jim Lambert

Rushaway Winner Dominican Wins Again On Polytrack
The management at Keeneland (in Lexington, Kentucky) must be patting each other on the back.  Their controversial move to Polytrack last year is paying big dividends in 2007.  The new artificial surface is keeping horses safer (injuries are down from pre-Polytrack days) and providing for much closer, exciting races on the whole.  That makes both the horsemen and the horseplayers happy, and that's the name of the game.  And to make things better, two of the marquis Kentucky Derby prospects, Street Sense and Great Hunter, squared off in the Toyota Blue Grass Saturday.

Street Sense comes in off his thrilling victory over Any Given Saturday in the Tampa Bay Derby, and Great Hunter comes in off his relatively easy win in the Robert B. Lewis.  Teuflesberg, Zanjero, and Dominican head up the main competition to the top two choices. 

Here is the synopsis I wrote for my HRH Racing Digest readers last night:

The grade 1 Toyota Blue Grass is a mile and one-eighth on the All Weather Track. A steady rain (up to one inch) is forecast for Saturday, but if the track drains the way Polytrack is advertised we should have a fair race. Only Love Dubai (#3) and Time Squared (#5) are not stakes placed, so that leaves a balance of five other horses. The System Toteboard isolates #2 (Dominican), #6 (Teuflesberg), #7 (Great Hunter) and #1 (Zanjero) as the key value horses, and leaves out the probable post-time favorite Street Sense (#4). That does not mean we ignore Street Sense, but it means we look to the others for value, particularly Great Hunter, who has a solid aptitude for the Polytrack surface and class to spare.

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What happened in the Blue Grass, besides the four horse blanket finish of Dominican, Street Sense, Zanjero, and Teuflesberg?  Teuflesberg was able to set a pedestrian pace of 26.12 for the quarter, 51.46 for the half, and 1:16.65 for three