|
Back to Archives
January 14, 2006
The Premier
Selection of the Day Plus
|
Premier Selection
of the Day
The Grade 2 San Rafael Stakes |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Santa Anita |
6 |
5 |
Stevie Wonderboy |
|
Strength Rating Santa Anita Race 6 |
|
88 of 100 |
|
Synopsis Santa Anita Race 6 |
| The San Rafael is a Grade 2 Stakes for three year-olds to be run
at 1 mile on the dirt for a purse of $150,000. The race is a
showcase for two of the budding stars of the 2006 Kentucky Derby
trail, Stevie Wonderboy and Brother Derek. Stevie Wonderboy is
sired by Stephen Got Even, a son of A. P. Indy. On the dam side,
his grandsire is Summer Squall. These are royal bloodlines, to
be sure. As a three year-old, Wonderboy will develop nicely, and
he is bred for distance, and he is bred to win. I picked him
second in the Breeders Cup Juvenile, and he did not let me down.
With Doug O'Neil handling him, and media icon Merv Griffin as owner,
Stevie Wonderboy is in good hands. Stevie Wonderboy is certainly the
best colt in the race, but he may be hampered by the one mile
distance, as Wonderboy prefers to go longer. The D. Hendricks
trained Brother Derek, on the other hand, prefers the one mile
distance, and he is going to be a handful for Wonderboy to run down in
the stretch. The presence of the B. Baffert trained Wanna Runner
is critical to the chances of Stevie Wonderboy. With excellent
speed, the El Corredor gelding will give Brother Derek all he can
handle on the front end, and this is a welcome development for
Wonderboy, who needs to pass Brother Derek in the late going.
The San Rafael is essentially a match race between Stevie Wonderboy
and Brother Derek, and Wonderboy gets the nod in a thrilling race. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Santa Anita Race 6 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$25 Win-Place 5 ($50)
Total $50 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$10 Win-Place 5 ($20)
Total $20 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 Mile. 3 Year Olds Stakes Purse:
$147,000 |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 2 |
Brother Derek |
Solis A |
122 |
4.60 |
2.10 |
|
| 5 |
Stevie Wonderboy |
Gomez G K |
122 |
|
2.10 |
|
| 4 |
Wanna Runner |
Espinoza V |
116 |
|
|
|
| |
Times in 5ths: |
:232 |
:464 |
1:102 |
1:23 |
1:36 |
| |
Times in 100ths: |
:23.48 |
:46.80 |
1:10.40 |
1:23.11 |
1:36.11 |
|
| Scratched: M. J. Pkay and Sailors
Sunset |
| Also ran: Woody Be Quick |
| Winning Trainer: Hendricks Dan L -
Owner: Peacock Cecil N. |
| $1 Exacta (2-5) Paid $3.10 |
| $1 Trifecta (2-5-4) Paid $4.60 |
Daily Selections
Gulfstream Park
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Gulfstream Park |
2 |
1 |
Ms Touriffic |
|
Gulfstream Park |
2 |
3 |
Most Charming |
|
Gulfstream Park |
2 |
4 |
Wekiva's Awesome |
|
Gulfstream Park |
2 |
7 |
Irish Class |
|
Gulfstream Park |
2 |
9 |
Halo Jamerica |
|
Synopsis Gulfstream Park Race 2 |
| The 2nd at Gulfstream is a $10,000 claimer for older fillies &
mares run at one mile on the dirt. In claiming races the
trainers able to saddle the soundest horses merit the best chance to
win. Most Charming is extremely well placed and her trainer H.
Benson thought enough of her to reclaim her in August. Most Charming
possesses the most pure talent in the field and enjoys the services of
rider R. Bejarano for the first time. M. Guidry is aboard Halo
Jamerica, Jamerica flashes early speed in most of her races and that
will help her contend today. Ms Touriffic is also suited to be
a front runner if she is sent, and her inside post is a help. Wekiva's Awesome is going to be flying late under J. Rose, and has a
great opportunity to hit the board. Irish Class gets an
honorable mention. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Race 2 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$10 Exacta 3 with 1/4/9 ($30)
$2 Trifecta 3 with 1/4/7/9 with 1/4/7/9 ($24)
Total $54 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$3 Exacta 3 with 1/4/9 ($9)
$1 Trifecta 3 with 1/4/7/9 with 1/4/7/9 ($12)
Total $21 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 Mile. 4 Year Olds And Up Claiming
($10,000-$9,000) Purse: |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 3 |
Most Charming |
Bejarano R |
121 |
8.00 |
5.20 |
3.20 |
| 6 |
Ringaroundarosie |
Aguilar M |
121 |
|
10.00 |
3.80 |
| 1 |
Ms Touriffic |
Garcia J A |
121 |
|
|
3.00 |
| Finish Time: 1:41.33 |
|
| Also ran: Wekiva's Awesome |
| Winning Trainer: Benson Harry -
Owner: Patitucci Florence |
| $1 Exacta (3-6) Paid $39.60 |
| $1 Trifecta (3-6-1) Paid $115.30 |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Gulfstream Park |
4 |
2 |
Fabled |
|
Gulfstream Park |
4 |
3 |
Rehoboth |
|
Gulfstream Park |
4 |
4 |
Saint Daimon |
|
Gulfstream Park |
4 |
5 |
Tropical Play |
|
Synopsis Gulfstream Park Race 4 |
| A very talented field of six young colts tries to clear second
level allowance conditions. The competition is very evenly matched,
but we can shed some light on the possible outcome. Saint Daimon
faced stakes competition in the Aventura exactly one week ago and
finished a respectable 6th, Saint Daimon has already won a stakes, the
Huntington at Aqueduct, so he is deserving of a long look today.
Tempering the optimistic outlook, though, Saint Daimon raced only seven days
ago.
F. Gomez saddles Rehoboth, winner of two races at Calder, and owner of
very respectable speed figures, Rehoboth merits a good look.
Tropical Play is two for two, both at Calder, and goes for his 3rd in
a row with E. Castro aboard. Fabled is one of the main players,
having won both of his starts for N. Zito. Fabled prefers to
stalk from a distance and will need to stay in touch with the field
today, Fabled has a great turn of foot and is well positioned to
challenge for the win. Express News showed promise at Keeneland
but always sports front wraps, never a good sign. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Race 4 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$6 Exacta 2/3 with 1/2/3/4/5 ($48)
$2 Trifecta 2/3 with ALL with 2/3 ($16)
Total $64 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$2 Exacta 2/3 with 1/2/3/4/5 ($16)
$1 Trifecta 2/3 with ALL with 2/3 ($8)
Total $24 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 1/2 Furlongs. 3 Year Olds
Allowance Purse: |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 3 |
Rehoboth |
Castellano J J |
118 |
25.40 |
6.60 |
3.20 |
| 2 |
Fabled |
Bejarano R |
120 |
|
3.00 |
2.10 |
| 1 |
Express News |
Prado E S |
118 |
|
|
2.40 |
| Finish Time: 1:17.09 |
|
| Also ran: Saint Daimon |
| Winning Trainer: Gomez Frank -
Owner: Harris, Jr. J. Robert |
| $1 Exacta (3-2) Paid $29.50 |
| $1 Trifecta (3-2-1) Paid $78.10 |
Alert 12:24 p.m. EDT:
In
Gulfstream Park Race 9, #11 Is Scratched, And #13 Draws In From Also
Eligible List.
In
Gulfstream Park Race 10, #4 Is Scratched. See
Updated Wager Recommendation.
|
Gulfstream Park Pick Four |
|
Strategy
Gulfstream Park Pick Four (Races 7-10) |
|
We follow our race 7, 8 and 9 analysis from below and
add some good value choices for race 10. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Pick Four (Races 7-10) |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$1 Pick-4 1/7 with 2/5/6 with 1/9 with 1/3/6/10 ($48) |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Pick-4 1/7 with 2/5 with 1/9 with 1/6/10 ($24) |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
| Gulfstream
Park Pick Four (Races 7-10)
|
| $1 Pick 4 (3-3-3-1) 4 Correct Paid $899.50 |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Gulfstream Park |
7 |
1 |
Looks Good Junic |
|
Gulfstream Park |
7 |
3 |
Run the Light |
|
Gulfstream Park |
7 |
4 |
Gadget Man |
|
Gulfstream Park |
7 |
6 |
Sabre Man |
|
Gulfstream Park |
7 |
7 |
Prodigus (Brz) |
|
Synopsis Gulfstream Park Race 7 |
| The 7th at Gulfstream is a $50,000 claimer for older horses run at one mile
on the grass. The trick to claiming races is to follow the
trainers who specialize in making troubled horses become sound again,
at least for one race. J. Sheppard is a very patient handler who
fits that description, and he saddles Forget the Judge today in his
first race in 132 days, perfectly reasonable for a turf horse, Forget
the Judge was jumping hurdles in the Spring of 2004, but won a claimer
on the turf at Saratoga in September, and will fetch a good price.
J. R. Velazquez may have had a choice to ride either the successful
Peace Emblem or the less successful Run the Light, and he selected Run
the Light, this firms up Run the Light as a contender, and casts a
shadow on the chances of Peace Emblem. A. Dutrow saddles both
Peace Emblem & Sabre Baby, and although both have a chance for the
win, Sabre Chance with E. Prado aboard looks more poised for a good
effort. The Brazilian bred Prodigus is expertly handled by H.
Pitts and is entered in a perfect spot, and should be a dominant
factor in the outcome. E. Castro is aboard Looks Good Junic,
another pointed beautifully toward a strong effort today, having
recently run in the tough Pete Axthelm Stakes. Honorable
mentions are Private Scandal, Handsome Smile, Hard Head and Gadget
Man. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Race 7 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$3 Exacta 1/2/3/4/6/9 with 7 ($18)
$1 Trifecta ALL with 7 with 1/3 ($20)
Total $38 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Trifecta ALL with 7 with 1/3 ($20)
Total $20 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 Mile. (Turf) 4 Year Olds And Up
Claiming ($50,000-$40,000) Purse: $25,000 |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 3 |
Run the Light |
Velazquez J R |
121 |
8.00 |
4.60 |
3.80 |
| 2 |
Forget the Judge |
Rose J |
122 |
|
12.40 |
7.20 |
| 7 |
Prodigus (BRZ) |
Bejarano R |
122 |
|
|
4.60 |
| Finish Time: 1:34.90 |
|
| Scratched: Ancient Myth and Big
Luck (PER) |
| Also ran: Smooth Lover, Looks Good
Junic, Hard Head, Private Scandal, Peace Emblem, Sabre Baby, Gadget
Man, Handsome Smile and Renard Bleu |
| Winning Trainer: Hennig Mark -
Owner: Evans Edward P. |
| $1 Exacta (3-2) Paid $50.90 |
| $1 Trifecta (3-2-7) Paid $356.30 |
Alert 12:24 p.m. EDT:
In
Gulfstream Park Race 9, #11 Is Scratched, And #13 Draws In From Also
Eligible List.
In
Gulfstream Park Race 10, #4 Is Scratched. See
Updated Wager Recommendation.
|
Gulfstream Park Pick Three |
|
Strategy
Gulfstream Park Pick Three (Races 8-10) |
|
We follow our race 8 and 9 analysis from below and
add some good value choices for race 10. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Pick Three (Races 8-10) |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$1 Pick-3 2/5/6 with 1/8/9 with 1/3/6/10 ($36) |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Pick-3 2/5 with 1/8/9 with 1/3/6/10 ($24) |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
| Gulfstream
Park Pick Three (Races 8-10)
|
| $1 Pick 3 (3-3-1) 3 Correct Paid $337.00 |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
1 |
Beholden |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
2 |
Smart N Pretty |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
3 |
Yachats |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
4 |
Diamond Spirit |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
5 |
Mutakaway |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
6 |
Home Befor Midnite |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
9 |
Gleaming Elegance |
|
Synopsis Gulfstream Park Race 8 |
| This conditioned allowance sprint on the dirt for fillies three
years and up is going to be run by fillies that were juveniles two
weeks ago, so we look for late starters that look ready to clear
conditions. Smart N Pretty fits that description perfectly, well
bred with two starts late in the 2004 campaign, winning her maiden at
first asking and finishing second in her first attempt at clearing
allowance conditions, handled by D. Romans & piloted by M. Guidry
today. Yachats also won at first asking for T. Pletcher, and J.
R. Velazquez is back to ride her again, a minor concern is a 55 day
layoff directly after the maiden victory, but Pletcher is doing little
wrong these days. On paper Diamond Spirit looks formidable with
a second place finish in the Grade 3 Valley Storm in November 2004,
but like Yachats she has not raced for 55 days, and it took her four
tries to graduate the maiden ranks, still with A. Jerkens handling her
& R. Berjarano riding her expect a significant effort. Mutakaway
is another filly that won at first asking, and F. Brothers sends her
out after 57 days off, but with FTL (first time lasix) and a steady
stream of works. Beholden flew home at first asking in a fast
time for trainer E. Harty with J. J. Castellano aboard, and promptly
spent five months on the sidelines, she could be tough today but buyer
beware. Home Befor Midnite cannot be discounted, she has faced
good competition at Calder in a variety of events, and gets J. Velez
up for the third time. Gleaming Elegance ought to run well for
two important reasons, first she did not embarrass herself against
Smart N Pretty in today's conditions, and second her trainer S.
Asmussen is topflight. Deserving of honorable mention are
Woodbine invader Elusive Sugar and Reason to Rejoice. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Race 8 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$2 Exacta ALL with 5 ($22)
$1 Trifecta 2/5 with ALL with 2/5 ($20)
Total $42 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Trifecta 2/5 with ALL with 2/5 ($20)
Total $20 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 1/2 Furlongs. 3 Year Olds
Allowance Purse: |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 3 |
Yachats |
Velazquez J R |
119 |
10.20 |
5.40 |
4.80 |
| 1 |
Beholden |
Castellano J J |
117 |
|
7.20 |
4.40 |
| 9 |
Gleaming Elegance |
Bridgmohan S X |
117 |
|
|
6.40 |
| Finish Time: 1:17.94 |
|
| Scratched: Primetime Princess and
Sweet Fervor |
| Also ran: Smart N Pretty |
| Winning Trainer: Pletcher Todd A -
Owner: Jones, Aaron U. and Marie D. |
| $1 Exacta (3-1) Paid $29.40 |
| $1 Trifecta (3-1-9) Paid $266.60 |
Alert 12:24 p.m. EDT:
In
Gulfstream Park Race 9, #11 Is Scratched, And #13 Draws In From Also
Eligible List. No Change To Wager Recommendation.
|
Daily Selections
The Marshua's River Stakes |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Gulfstream Park |
9 |
1A |
On the Bus |
|
Gulfstream Park |
9 |
2 |
Brunilda |
|
Gulfstream Park |
9 |
4 |
La Reina |
|
Gulfstream Park |
9 |
8 |
Dynamite Lass |
|
Gulfstream Park |
9 |
9 |
Sauvage |
|
Gulfstream Park
|
9
|
11
|
Asti (Ire)
|
|
Synopsis Gulfstream Park Race 9 |
| The Marshua's River, run on the
turf course at 1 and 1/16 miles by older fillies & mares, is host to a
rugged and mature group of grass specialists. It is
highly competitive, and there is little to separate the best of the
runners. That said, let's look at the main players. The
New York bred mare On the Bus, winner of the Ticonderoga in October
2004, has competed well against others in this field, mostly in minor
stakes, and Dale Romans is a topflight trainer, and he has acquired
the services of a top rider, M. Guidry. T. Albertrani, a high
percentage trainer as well, sends out the French bred Sauvage after a
seven month freshening, and suddenly J. Bailey agrees to ride her for
the first time, a signal Sauvage is ready for a big effort. A.
Jerkens & J. R. Velazquez team up on the late running Irish bred Asti, and today Asti will finally get the fast pace she relishes,
breaking from the outside Asti will close very late, and very fast.
Shug McGaughey trains La Reina, racing at the top of her game, but La
Reina has been asked to run more often than is desirable, and she
faces many with a similar front running style, a disadvantage today.
Brunilda may be a dark horse on the rail, Bridgmohan is riding very
well, as one of the more versatile stalkers in the field Brunilda will
utilize the rail to her advantage, look for a good effort at a price.
Dynamite Lass is the only four year-old in the field, but she ranks
with her elders, having competed well against Melhor Ainda, one of the
most promising young fillies. Deserving of honorable mention are
My Lordship, Malaysia and Natalie Beach. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Race 9 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$2 Exacta 1/9 with ALL ($40)
$1 Trifecta 1/9 with ALL with 1/9 ($18)
Total $58 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Exacta 1/9 with ALL ($20)
Total $20 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 1/16 Miles. (Turf) 3 Year Olds
And Up Stakes Purse: |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 3 |
My Lordship |
Velasquez C |
124 |
9.80 |
6.20 |
4.40 |
| 1A |
On the Bus |
Prado E S |
118 |
|
8.60 |
5.60 |
| 6 |
Natalie Beach (ARG) |
Castellano J J |
118 |
|
|
6.00 |
| Finish Time: 1:40.48 |
|
| Scratched: Asti (IRE) and Miss
Mambo |
| Also ran: Dynamite Lass |
| Winning Trainer: Mott William I -
Owner: Live Oak Plantation |
| $1 Exacta (3-1) Paid $25.10 |
| $1 Trifecta (3-1-6) Paid $213.60 |
Aqueduct
Alert 11:59 a.m. EDT:
In
Aqueduct Race 5, #8 and #10 Are Scratched, And #11 And #12 Draw In From
Also Eligible List.
In
Aqueduct Race 7, #3 Is Scratched. See
Updated Wager Recommendation.
|
Strategy
Aqueduct Pick Three (Races 5-7) |
|
We follow our race 5, 6 and 7 analysis from below. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Aqueduct Pick Three (Races 5-7) |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$1 Pick-3 6/7/12 with 1/4/5/7/9/10 with 4/9 ($36) |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Pick-3 6/7 with 1/4/5/7/9/10 with 4/9 ($24) |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
| Aqueduct Pick
Three (Races 5-7)
|
| $2 Pick 3 (6-10-6) 3 Correct Paid $200.50 |
Alert 11:59 a.m. EDT:
In
Aqueduct Race 5, #8 And #10 Are Scratched, And #11 And #12 Draw In From
Also Eligible List. See
Updated Synopsis And Wager Recommendation.
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Aqueduct |
5 |
1 |
On the Porch |
|
Aqueduct |
5 |
6 |
Shade the Cat |
|
Aqueduct |
5 |
7 |
Raphaelite |
|
Aqueduct
|
5
|
8
|
I'm All In
|
|
Aqueduct
|
5
|
10
|
Successful Affair
|
|
Updated Synopsis Aqueduct Race 5 |
The 5th at the "Big A" is a $15,000 claimer for
older horses that have less than two lifetime wins. The
pickin's are thin but there are a few good possibilities. The
lightly raced Shade the Cat finished a respectable 3rd at a higher
claiming price, and his ability to relax in the early going and turn
it on in the stretch is a perfect style for today's race, Shade the
Cat will be a major factor. Raphaelite, on the other hand, will go for
at least a piece of the lead, and with a strong rider (R. Dominguez)
could hold on, and will only benefit from a sloppy track. P J
Sully is a modest talent at best, but E. Coa elects to ride him for
the first time, a good sign. On the Porch has had physical
problems, but M. Hennig is handling him and he has a long string of
works. D. Galluscio saddles Successful Affair, and Successful
Affair put it all together to run a strong second in similar
conditions last out, a repeat performance puts him in the winner's
circle, but a sloppy track hurts his chances. Deserving of
honorable mention are I'm All In and Start at Five.
Update
With the race day scratches of I'm All In & Successful Affair, and
with a wet surface, Raphaelite becomes a monster on the lead, and
Shade the Cat moves up as well. Look for these two to dominate
most of the running. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Aqueduct Race 5 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$6 Exacta 7 with 1/6/9/12 ($24)
$1 Trifecta 6/7 with 1/6/7 with ALL ($32)
Total $56 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$6 Exacta 7 with 1/6/9/12 ($24)
Total $24 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 Mile. 4 Year Olds And Up Claiming
($15,000) Purse: |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 6 |
Shade the Cat |
Luzzi M J |
120 |
7.90 |
4.50 |
3.40 |
| 9 |
Start At Five |
Garcia Alan |
120 |
|
11.00 |
6.10 |
| 7 |
Raphaelite |
Dominguez R A |
120 |
|
|
2.90 |
| Finish Time: 1:41.51 |
|
| Scratched: I'm All In and
Successful Affair |
| Also ran: Platinum Case, Guy
Getaway, Breeze On, P J Sully, Regal Model, On the Porch and Java
Warrior |
| Winning Trainer: Violette Richard A
Jr - Owner: West Point Stable |
| $2 Exacta (6-9) Paid $114.50 |
| $2 Trifecta (6-9-7) Paid $439.00 |
Alert 11:59 a.m. EDT:
In
Aqueduct Race 7, #3 Is Scratched. See
Updated Wager Recommendation.
|
Strategy
Aqueduct Daily Double (Races 6-7) |
|
We follow our race 6 and 7 analysis from below. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Aqueduct Daily Double (Races 6-7) |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$4 Daily Double 1/4/5/7/9/10 with 4/9 ($48)
Total ($48) |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$2 Daily Double 1/4/5/7/9/10 with 4/9 ($24)
Total ($24) |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
| Aqueduct
Daily Double (Races 6-7)
|
| $2 Daily Double (10-6) Paid $47.40 |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Aqueduct |
6 |
1 |
Speaking Out |
|
Aqueduct |
6 |
2 |
Hassani |
|
Aqueduct |
6 |
7 |
River Squire |
|
Aqueduct |
6 |
8 |
Raff and Tumble |
|
Aqueduct |
6 |
9 |
Herbert T |
|
Aqueduct |
6 |
10 |
Firemist |
| Three year-old state bred maidens battle at 1 mile and 70 yards on
the inner dirt course. River Squire and Herbert T will both look
to press the pace, and River Squire is going to be tough to wear down,
particularly on a wet track. The G. Contessa barn saddles
Hassani, a contender with a late running style, but the wet track will
hurt his chances. D. Galluscio sends out the first time starter
Raff and Tumble, and Raff and Tumble looks very well meant.
Firemist, trained by B. Levine, should continue to improve in this his
third start, and will be a threat to take it all. Speaking Out
will show speed from the rail. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Aqueduct Race 6 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$3 Exacta 7/10 with 1/5/7/9/10 ($24)
$1 Trifecta 7/10 with 1 with ALL ($16)
Total $40 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$3 Exacta 7/10 with 1/5/7/9/10 ($24)
Total $24 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 Mile 70 Yards. 3 Year Olds Maiden
Special Weight Purse: |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 10 |
Firemist |
Luzzi M J |
120 |
6.60 |
3.90 |
3.20 |
| 7 |
River Squire |
Espinoza J L |
120 |
|
5.30 |
4.20 |
| 8 |
Raff and Tumble |
Dominguez R A |
120 |
|
|
7.40 |
| Finish Time: 1:44.48 |
|
| Scratched: I Won't Dance |
| Also ran: Hassani, Herbert T,
Speaking Out, C Senor, He's Up to Snuff, Capstoneclearance and Fine
Finish |
| Winning Trainer: Levine Bruce N -
Owner: Triple Diamond Stables |
| $2 Exacta (10-7) Paid $34.20 |
| $2 Trifecta (10-7-8) Paid
$394.00 |
Alert 11:59 a.m. EDT:
In
Aqueduct Race 7, #3 Is Scratched. See
Updated Synopsis And Wager Recommendation.
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Aqueduct
|
7
|
3
|
P. J. Indy
|
|
Aqueduct |
7 |
4 |
Malibu Move |
|
Aqueduct |
7 |
5 |
New York Cat |
|
Aqueduct |
7 |
9 |
Token Dem |
|
Updated Synopsis Aqueduct Race 7 |
Older New York breds go 5 and 1/2 panels on the inner dirt course
under allowance conditions. One horse stands out amongst the
rest, the R. Dutrow trained Malibu Move. Malibu Move did not
debut until very late in his three year-old campaign, so we know there
must have been physical issues. That said, his debut was very
professional, running a clear 3rd against N.Y. maidens, and he
followed it with a scintillating performance, defeating a group of
N.Y. maidens in gate to wire fashion, and winning in style.
Seventy days later Malibu Move returns to the track, boasting a solid
line of very nice works. He is hands down the top choice.
New York Cat, handled by B. Levine, competes very well at this level,
and returned from a lengthy freshening in fine form to take a
non-winners-of-two open company claimer , New York Cat deserves some
support at the windows. Token Dem will show good pace again for
S. Lake, and has a chance should Malibu Move fail, and will enjoy the
off going. Deserving of honorable mention are Helene's Dream,
Harry the Rock and P. J. Indy.
Update
With the race day scratche of P J Indy, the race is wide open for
Malibu Move & Token Dem to control the pace, particularly on a wet
surface. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Aqueduct Race 7 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$25 Exacta 4 with 9 ($25)
$15 Exacta 4 with 5 ($15)
$1 Trifecta 4 with 5/9 with ALL ($16)
$1 Trifecta 9 with 4 with ALL ($8)
Total $64 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Trifecta 4 with 5/9 with ALL ($16)
Total $16 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 5 1/2 Furlongs. 4 Year Olds And Up
Allowance Purse: |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 6 |
Harry the Rock |
Fragoso P |
118 |
10.00 |
4.90 |
3.20 |
| 9 |
Token Dem |
Pimentel J |
118 |
|
9.50 |
5.60 |
| 4 |
Malibu Move |
Santos J A |
118 |
|
|
3.50 |
| Finish Time: 1:05.21 |
|
| Scratched: P. J. Indy |
| Also ran: New York Cat, Whoa,
Schiloh, Helene's Dream, Thirteen Mil, Bobb's Rizzi and General Howze |
| Winning Trainer: Ribaudo Robert J -
Owner: Astorian Stable |
| $2 Exacta (6-9) Paid $107.00 |
| $2 Trifecta (6-9-4) Paid $435.50 |
Alert 11:59 a.m. EDT:
In
Aqueduct Race 8, #4 And #5 Are Scratched. Win Betting Only. See
Updated Synopsis And Wager Recommendation.
|
Daily Selections
The Affectionately Handicap |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Aqueduct |
8 |
1A |
Provincial |
|
Aqueduct |
8 |
2 |
Bohemian Lady |
|
Aqueduct |
8 |
3 |
After the Tone |
|
Aqueduct
|
8
|
4
|
Amazing Buy
|
|
Aqueduct
|
8
|
5
|
Freeroll
|
|
Updated Synopsis Aqueduct Race 8 |
The Affectionately is a Handicap for fillies & mares three years &
up, run at 1 and 1/16 miles on the inner dirt course, with a purse of
$65,000. A field of six femme fatales will fight it out, with
two forming an entry in the name of the Phipps Stable. Both
halves of the entry are trained by Shug McGaughey, Provincial being
the more intriguing of the two. The Affectionately is host to
several speed burners, and the patient stalking style of Provincial
stands in stark relief to the front running style of the others, she
spends a lot of time on the sidelines but McGaughey has worked her
steadily in preparation for this race, Provincial has competed with
the likes of Stellar Jayne, and is going to be a factor in the outcome
today. The sharpest mare in the field is undoubtedly Bohemian
Lady, trained by T. Pletcher & ridden by J. Santos, Bohemian
Lady just missed in the 1 and 1/4 mile Ladies Handicap here in
December, she is multiple Graded Stakes placed, and today's distance
of 1 & 1/16 miles suits her, as does the inner dirt course.
Bohemian Lady must deal with other front runners today, though,
including Amazing Buy and After the Tone. Amazing Buy won the
Busher here last February for handler J. Pederson, and figures to
press the pace. After the Tone chased Bohemian Lady in the
Ladies Handicap, finishing some three lengths back of that one, M.
Hennig will have her ready but her best may not be good enough.
Another M. Hennig charge is Freeroll. Freeroll, not unlike
Provincial, sports a patient running style, although she needs the
race of her life to capture the victory.
Update
With the race day scratches of Amazing Buy & Freeroll, the pace
belongs to Bohemian Lady and After the Tone. They will both
benefit from the wet surface. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Aqueduct Race 8 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$75 Win 2 ($75)
Total $75 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$25 Win 2 ($25)
Total $25 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 1/16 Miles. 3 Year Olds And Up
Stakes Purse: |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 2 |
Bohemian Lady |
Santos J A |
118 |
3.10 |
|
|
| 3 |
After the Tone |
Fragoso P |
114 |
|
|
|
| 1 |
Strategy |
Coa E M |
115 |
|
|
|
| Finish Time: 1:46.41 |
|
| Scratched: Amazing Buy and Freeroll |
| Also ran: Provincial |
| Winning Trainer: Pletcher Todd A -
Owner: Padua Stables |
Santa Anita
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Santa Anita |
3 |
1 |
Silk Kerchief |
|
Santa Anita |
3 |
2 |
Song Sung Gold |
|
Santa Anita |
3 |
3 |
Little Caroline (Ire) |
|
Santa Anita |
3 |
4 |
Blowing Bartok |
|
Santa Anita |
3 |
6 |
Janzig Moon |
|
Santa Anita |
3 |
9 |
Element K. |
|
Synopsis Santa Anita Race 3 |
| Nine older fillies & mares vie for a $26,000 purse
under starter allowance conditions, to be run at 1 and 1/8 miles on
the grass. Most of these have been languishing in mid to low
level claiming affairs, and bring little to the table. Top rider
G. Gomez has elected to ride Song Sung Gold, a good sign, but Song
Sung Gold has won only once in 16 starts, including 0 for 7 on the
grass, but merits a long look in this very weak field. Silk Kerchief
fits the profile more, with only four lifetime starts and early
success in starter allowance races, but races on the grass for the
first time, J. Fanning trains & A. Solis rides. The Irish bred
Little Caroline is bred to excel on the turf, and is showing signs of
good racing form despite her lackluster record, she can win at a
price. The Cal bred Blowing Bartok is interesting, having
returned from a 17 month absence to graduate the maiden claiming ranks
in her second try back. P. Gallagher is an expert handler, and
saddles Janzig Moon for her grass debut, Janzig Moon has a real upside
in this race. Element K. is a threat off her recent second place
finish in a conditioned allowance grass route for Cal breds. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Santa Anita Race 3 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$3 Exacta 2/3 with ALL ($48)
$1 Trifecta 3 with 2 with ALL ($8)
Total $56 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$2 Exacta 3 with ALL ($16)
$1 Trifecta 3 with 2 with ALL ($8)
Total $24 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 1/8 Miles. (Turf) 4 Year Olds And
Up Starter Allowance ($40,000-) Purse: |
| # |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
| 9 |
Element K. |
Espinoza V |
120 |
5.80 |
3.60 |
3.00 |
| 1 |
Silk Kerchief |
Solis A |
| |