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January 28, 2006
The Premier
Selection of the Day Plus
|
Premier Selection
of the Day |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Oaklawn Park |
7 |
6 |
Groovy Luck |
|
Strength Rating Oaklawn Park Race 7 |
|
84 of 100 |
|
Synopsis Oaklawn Park Race 7 |
| The 7th at Oaklawn is a six panel dash for three year-olds to be
run under allowance optional claiming conditions, awarding a purse of
$33,000. I hesitate to call anybody a standout in a field of
recently turned three year-olds, but Groovy Luck really is one.
Ridden by the up and coming apprentice rider Cody Meche, Groovy Luck
coasted to a victory 14 days ago under these same conditions, and
who's going to stop him from repeating? Maybe Ticklish Will, the
runner-up to Groovy Luck January 14, but the rider of Ticklish Will
needed binoculars to see the hind end of Groovy Luck in that one.
The only hope for the rest of the field is that Groovy Luck does not
take to the footing on a sloppy track at Oaklawn Park. Fighting for a
piece of the exacta will be Ticklish Will, Music School, Castles in
the Sky, High Adventure, Grant County and Wild World. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Oaklawn Park Race 7 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$25 Win-Place 6 ($50)
Total Wagers $50
Total Payout $42.50 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$10 Win-Place 6 ($20)
Total Wagers $20
Total Payout $17 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 3 Year
Olds Allowance Optional Claiming ($50,000) Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
4 |
High
Adventure |
Graham J |
118 |
14.00 |
5.60 |
4.20 |
|
6 |
Groovy Luck |
Meche C |
115 |
|
3.40 |
3.00 |
|
1 |
Out Scored |
McKee J |
122 |
|
|
6.40 |
| Finish Time:
1:12.89 |
|
| Scratched: Music
School |
| Also ran: Castles in
the Sky |
| Winning Trainer:
Werner Ronny - Owner: Mattox, Don and Pam |
| $2 Exacta (4-6)
Paid $59.60 |
| $1 Trifecta
(4-6-1) Paid $230.30 |
Bonus Premier
Selection
|
Bonus Premier Selection
of the Day
The Sunshine Millions Filly & Mare Sprint Stakes |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Santa Anita |
4 |
12 |
Western Hemisphere |
|
Strength Rating Santa Anita Park Race 4 |
|
89 of 100 |
|
Updated Synopsis
Santa Anita Park Race 4 |
The Sunshine Millions Filly & Mare Sprint Stakes is a
six furlong dash for fillies & mares four year-olds and up bred in
California or Florida, to be contested for a purse of $300,000.
Several of these talented fillies & mares have spent a great deal of
time on the sidelines, only to return to big time racing. The
Cal-bred Western Hemisphere is a prime example, this her 4th start
after a 13 month layoff, and in her last she won the Kalookan Queen
Handicap with a 104 Beyer figure, ridden out to the wire.
Trained by Bob Baffert, Western Hemisphere has only 12 lifetime
starts, 6 were on the dirt, but the five year-old mare is racing
extremely well. The Cal-bred Alphabet Kisses, another top
talent, returned from a 4 month layoff to run 3rd in an open allowance
sprint, and that should serve her well as a prep for today's race.
Alphabet Kisses is a winner of a Grade 2 stakes and several Cal-bred
stakes, and she is again a major threat although there is some
uncertainty concerning her present condition. The four year-old
Cal-bred Leave Me Alone fought tooth and nail with several of the top
three year-olds in the country in 2005, and she captured the Grade 1
Test at Saratoga in the process. More recently, she ran a
determined 2nd in the Grade 1 La Brea behind runaway winner Pussycat
Doll. Today look for another top effort from Leave Me Alone.
Deserving of honorable mention are Cal-breds Thrilling Victory and
Aclevershadeofjade and Fla-breds Hot Storm and Double D Appeal.
Update
The late scratches of Alphabet Kisses and Leave Me Alone open the door
for Western Hemisphere to control the outcome. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Santa Anita Park Race 4 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$25 Win-Place 12 ($50)
Total Wagers $50
Total Payout $30 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$10 Win-Place 12 ($20)
Total Wagers $20
Total Payout $12 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 4 Year
Olds And Up Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
2 |
Hot Storm |
Flores D R |
121 |
8.00 |
3.00 |
2.60 |
|
12 |
Western
Hemisphere |
Espinoza V |
122 |
|
2.40 |
2.20 |
|
8 |
Thrilling
Victory |
Pedroza M A |
121 |
|
|
3.00 |
| Finish Time:
1:09.44 |
|
| Scratched: Abounding
Truth, Allswellthatnswell, Alphabet Kisses and Leave Me Alone |
| Also ran: Da
Svedonya |
| Winning Trainer:
Stewart Dallas - Owner: Adams Robert A. |
| $1 Exacta (2-12)
Paid $8.20 |
| $1 Trifecta
(2-12-8) Paid $29.80 |
Daily Selections
Gulfstream Park
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Gulfstream Park |
3 |
3 |
Art Variety |
|
Gulfstream Park |
3 |
4 |
Love Your Whit |
|
Gulfstream Park |
3 |
5 |
Rahy Rythm |
|
Gulfstream Park |
3 |
7 |
Quiet Ruler |
|
Gulfstream Park |
3 |
12 |
Amon |
|
Synopsis Gulfstream Park Race 3 |
| Four year-olds and up go a mile and sixteenth on the grass, racing
for a claiming tag of $25,000. Heading up a rag tag group of
grass specialists is the Fla-bred Amon, trained by Wayne Catalano and
ridden by J R Velazquez. Amon has experienced considerable
success in Illinois in claiming events on the grass, and frankly has
no excuses in this field. Quiet Ruler, with over $390,000 of
winnings on the turf, was once a force to be reckoned with, now
trainer Richard Dutrow tries to coax another win out of him, but Quiet
Ruler has not won a race in over a year and a half. On the
positive side, the class drop and the weak field gives Quiet Ruler a
real chance today, with Raphael Bejarano up. Art Variety is a
real sleeper, having experienced success in graded stakes events not
all that long ago. Art Variety won a $40,000 claiming race on
the grass at Arlington Park in June of 2005, and Thomas Tomillo has
him placed perfectly in this Gulfstream Park claiming race.
Frankie Brothers trains Vive La Vie, a reasonable claimer with
tactical speed on the grass. Other contenders include Love Your
Whit, Rahy Rythm, Big Luck and Fit Faze. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Race 3 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$2 Exacta 3/12 with ALL ($44)
$1 Trifecta 3/12 with ALL with 3/12 ($20)
Total Wagers $64
Total Payout $39.20 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Trifecta 3/12 with ALL with 3/12 ($20)
Total Wagers $20
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 1/16 Miles. (Turf)
4 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($25,000-$20,000) Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
12 |
Amon |
Velazquez J R |
122 |
5.00 |
3.60 |
3.00 |
|
6 |
Big Luck
(PER) |
Nunez E O |
122 |
|
7.40 |
4.80 |
|
8 |
Vive La Vie |
Guidry M |
122 |
|
|
3.60 |
| Finish Time:
1:41.09 |
|
| Scratched: Nobodys
Listening and Spotted Owl |
| Also ran: Quiet
Ruler |
| Winning Trainer:
Catalano Wayne M - Owner: Calabrese Frank Carl |
| $1 Exacta (12-6)
Paid $19.60 |
| $1 Trifecta
(12-6-8) Paid $85.40 |
|
Gulfstream Park Pick Three |
|
Strategy
Gulfstream Park Pick Three (Races 6-8) |
|
We follow our race 6, 7 and 8 analysis from below. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Pick Three (Races 6-8) |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$1 Pick Three 1/2/3/6/12 with 4/6/7/11/14 with 7/8 ($50)
Total Wagers $50
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Pick Three 1/2/3 with 4/6/7/14 with 7/8 ($24)
Total Wagers $24
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
| Gulfstream Park
Pick Three (Races 6-8)
|
| $1 Pick 3 (6-11-1) 3 Correct Paid $49.50 |
|
Daily Selections
The Sunshine Millions Padua Stables Sprint Stakes |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Gulfstream Park |
6 |
1 |
Areyoutalkintome |
|
Gulfstream Park |
6 |
2 |
Thor's Echo |
|
Gulfstream Park |
6 |
3 |
Nightime Affair |
|
Gulfstream Park |
6 |
6 |
Bordonaro |
|
Gulfstream Park |
6 |
12 |
Red Warrior |
|
Gulfstream Park |
6 |
13 |
Smokeume |
|
Synopsis Gulfstream Park Race 6 |
| The Sunshine Millions Padua Stables Sprint is a six furlong dash
for four year-olds and up bred in California or Florida, all competing
for a purse of $300,000. There are several very fast horses in
the field, and one of the fastest is Cal-bred Areyoutalkintome, with J
R Velazquez up. Handled by Doug O'Neil, Areyoutalkintome has
competed with Gregs Gold and Battle Won, and recently ran third in the
On Trust Handicap, less than one length beaten by Proud Tower Too.
Also trained by Doug O'Neil is the speedy Cal-bred Thor's Echo, ridden
by Jerry Bailey for the first and last time today. Thor's Echo
only recently turned four years old, but has competed well against
Scrappy T and Proud Tower Too, as well as Areyoutalkintome. The
Cal-bred Red Warrior is one of the more intriguing horses in the race,
a dead closer in sprints, with every reason to expect an ideal set of
fractions to take aim at today. Red Warrior used his "last to
first" style to defeat Areyoutalkintome at six furlongs in January,
although Areyoutalkintome is a much improved horse in 2006. Red
Warrior is very fresh, and having been well prepped in the El Canejo
Handicap, will be mowing them down in deep stretch. The lightly
raced Cal-bred Bordonaro, recent winner of the V O Underwood, is
another flyer worthy of mention. The Fla-bred Mister Fotis is
occasionally brilliant, but Martin Wolfson's charge is better suited
to Calder stakes events. Deserving of honorable mention are
Fla-breds Nightmare Affair and Smokeume. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Race 6 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$3 Exacta 1/2/3 with 1/2/3/6/12/13 ($45)
$1 Trifecta 2 with ALL with 3/12 ($22)
Total Wagers $67
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Trifecta 2 with ALL with 3/12 ($22)
Total Wagers $22
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 4 Year
Olds And Up Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
6 |
Bordonaro |
Valenzuela P A |
122 |
5.00 |
3.60 |
3.60 |
|
8 |
Tacirring |
Alvarado R Jr |
122 |
|
12.60 |
8.80 |
|
11 |
Bushwacker |
Solis A |
121 |
|
|
13.40 |
| Finish Time:
1:08.57 |
|
| Also ran: Thor's
Echo, Nightmare Affair, Mister Fotis, Valid Video, Santana Strings,
Areyoutalkintome, Red Warrior, Halos Sailing Sain, All Hail Stormy and
Smokume |
| Winning Trainer:
Spawr Bill - Owner: Fred Carrillo and Daniel Cassella |
| $1 Exacta (6-8)
Paid $43.00 |
| $1 Trifecta
(6-8-11) Paid $907.00 |
|
Gulfstream Park Pick Three |
|
Strategy
Gulfstream Park Pick Three (Races 7-9) |
|
We follow our race 7, 8 and 9 analysis from below. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Pick Three (Races 7-9) |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$1 Pick Three 4/6/7/11/14 with 7/8 with 3/4/5/12 ($40)
Total Wagers $40
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Pick Three 4/6/7/14 with 7/8 with 4/5/12 ($24)
Total Wagers $24
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
| Gulfstream Park
Pick Three (Races 7-9)
|
| $1 Pick 3 (11-1-1) 3 Correct Paid $983.50 |
|
Daily Selections
The Sunshine Millions Ocala Stud Oaks |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Gulfstream Park |
7 |
4 |
Knights Templar |
|
Gulfstream Park |
7 |
6 |
Bettarun Fast |
|
Gulfstream Park |
7 |
7 |
Peach Flambe |
|
Gulfstream Park |
7 |
11 |
Joint Effort |
|
Gulfstream Park
|
7
|
13
|
Windy
|
|
Synopsis Gulfstream Park Race 7 |
| The Sunshine Millions Ocala Stud Oaks is a six furlong race for
three year-old fillies bred in California or Florida, competing for a
purse of $250,000. Several big name trainers, including Bobby
Frankel, Allen Jerkens, Daniel Vella, Mark Hennig and Dale Romans
saddle fillies for this one. All these fillies were juveniles
less than one month ago, so they are all lightly raced and still
developing, and that is why I took the time to mention the most
important trainers, because the trainers hold the key in this one.
Fla-bred Peach Flambe, trained by Hennig, simply exploded in her 3rd
overall start, a state-bred stakes at Calder, destroying the field
with a nice speed figure, and she will be in the thick of it today.
Big things are expected from Fla-bred Knights Templar, trained by
Vella, after dominating her division at Woodbine in Canada.
Knights Templar managed a reasonable 6th place finish in the Breeders
Cup Juvenile Fillies, and she should run a good race today.
Bobby Frankel enters Cal-bred Windy in this the 4th start of her
career. Windy's seemingly lackluster performance in the Cal-bred
Breeders Cup Challenge was hampered by an awkward start, and with a
better break she may score at a price today. Fla-bred Joint
Effort has already logged eight starts, and her campaign does not
suggest she will succeed today, but her trainer is Dale Romans and we
consider her for the exotics on that count alone. Deserving of
honorable mention are Fla-breds Bettarun Fast, Fifth Avenue and Bully
Jones, and Cal-bred Devons Smokin. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Race 7 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$3 Exacta 4/7 with 4/6/7/8/11/14 ($30)
$1 Trifecta Box 4/6/7/11 ($24)
Total Wagers $54
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$2 Exacta 4/7 with 4/6/7/8/11/14 ($20)
Total Wagers $20
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 3 Year
Olds Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
11 |
Joint Effort |
Guidry M |
120 |
10.60 |
6.40 |
4.20 |
|
9 |
A Sea Trippi |
Smith M E |
120 |
|
50.60 |
19.40 |
|
10 |
Lake Alice |
Chapman K L |
120 |
|
|
16.60 |
| Finish Time:
1:09.49 |
|
| Scratched: Home
Alona and Windy |
| Also ran: Peach
Flambe |
| Winning Trainer:
Romans Dale - Owner: Dizney Donald R. |
| $1 Exacta (11-9)
Paid $276.70 |
| $1 Trifecta
(11-9-10) Paid $6,376.80 |
|
Daily Selections
The Sunshine Millions Ocala Breeders Sales Distaff |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
1 |
House of Fortune |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
2 |
Special Report |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
7 |
Dream of Summer |
|
Gulfstream Park |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Lips |
|
Synopsis Gulfstream Park Race 8 |
| The Sunshine Millions Ocala Breeders Sales Distaff is a $500,000
stakes for older fillies & mares bred in California or Florida, to be
run at a mile and an eighth on the dirt. The distance is going
to be the key today, because field is fairly evenly matched but
essentially untested at the 1 1/8 mile distance. Bobby Frankel
sends out the Fla-bred Sweet Lips, recently finishing 6th in the Stage
Door Betty after a 9 1/2 month layoff. With only 12 lifetime
starts there is justification to worry about the long layoff, but I
believe Frankel was taking his time with this talented lass, and I saw
all I needed to see in the Stage Door Betty. After a sluggish
start, and without showing a lot of interest, Sweet Lips made up
a lot of ground to get within four lengths of the fully extended
winner. Today Sweet Lips will be able to lay off the pace, and
with the effort we expect from her, will be awfully tough down the
lane. Her main competition is going to be Cal-bred Dream of
Summer, a classy mare with multiple graded stakes placings. At a
mile and sixteenth or less Dream of Summer is pretty deadly, and she
will be a handful at a mile and an eighth, but vulnerable nonetheless.
Cal-bred House of Fortune is a successful Ron McAnally reclamation
project, and a reasonable threat today, although probably not a
winner. Deserving of honorable mention are Fla-breds Special
Report and Pitanga and Cal-bred Secret Corsage. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Race 8 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$8 Exacta 8 with 1/2/4/7 ($32)
$1 Trifecta 8 with 1/2/7 with ALL ($15)
Total Wagers $47
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Trifecta 8 with 1/2/7 with ALL ($15)
Total Wagers $15
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 1/8 Miles. 4 Year
Olds And Up Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
1 |
House of
Fortune |
Valenzuela P A |
122 |
6.80 |
3.60 |
2.60 |
|
8 |
Sweet Lips |
Prado E S |
122 |
|
3.40 |
2.40 |
|
7 |
Dream of
Summer |
Velazquez J R |
122 |
|
|
2.20 |
| Finish Time:
1:49.33 |
|
| Scratched: Secret
Corsage |
| Also ran: Pitanga |
| Winning Trainer:
McAnally Ronald - Owner: Zetcher Arnold |
| $1 Exacta (1-8)
Paid $13.40 |
| $1 Trifecta
(1-8-7) Paid $23.10 |
|
Daily Selections
The Sunshine Millions Cloverleaf Farms Turf |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Gulfstream Park |
9 |
3 |
Gin and Sin |
|
Gulfstream Park |
9 |
4 |
Silver Tree |
|
Gulfstream Park |
9 |
5 |
Eastern Sand |
|
Gulfstream Park |
9 |
7 |
Willow O Wisp |
|
Gulfstream Park |
9 |
12 |
Icy Altantic |
|
Synopsis Gulfstream Park Race 9 |
| The Sunshine Millions Cloverleaf Farms Turf is a $500,000 stakes
for older horses bred in California or Florida, to be run at a mile
and an eighth on the grass. The competition is very well
balanced and talented, starting with the Bill Mott trained Fla-bred
Silver Tree, Jerry Bailey up. Winner of the Tropical Turf
Handicap at Calder in December, Silver Tree is poised to deliver a
fine performance today, and his past efforts against top U.S. turfers
Artie Schiller and Leroidsanimux provide further support. Willow
O Wisp is one of the up and coming talents in the field, having run
most recently in the Group 1 Hong Kong Cup, finishing 9th but only 4
1/4 lengths off the winner. With only 13 overall starts, the
four year-old Fla-bred gelding has recorded three graded stakes
victories on the grass in California already, Willow O Wisp is to be
feared. Todd Pletcher enters the consistent yet unspectacular
Fla-bred Icy Atlantic, and with J R Velazquez up and Pletcher training
he is a reasonable threat. Of the two Jeff Mullins entries,
Fla-breds Eastern Sand and Captain Squire, I like Eastern Sand,
already multiple graded stakes placed with only 15 lifetime starts.
Getting honorable mention are Fla-breds Gin and Sin and Touched by
Madness, both exotics possibilities. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Gulfstream Park Race 9 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$4 Exacta 5/12 with 3/4/5/11/12 ($32)
$1 Trifecta Box 3/4/5/12 ($24)
Total Wagers $56
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$2 Exacta 5/12 with 3/4/5/11/12 ($16)
Total Wagers $16
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 1/8 Miles. (Turf)
4 Year Olds And Up Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
1 |
Miesque's
Approval |
Castro E |
122 |
99.60 |
30.40 |
12.60 |
|
4 |
Silver Tree |
Bailey J D |
122 |
|
3.00 |
2.40 |
|
12 |
Icy Atlantic |
Velazquez J R |
122 |
|
|
6.20 |
| Finish Time:
1:44.81 |
|
| Scratched: Ballonenostrikes
and Be My Buddy |
| Also ran: Stormy
Roman |
| Winning Trainer:
Wolfson Martin D - Owner: Live Oak Plantation |
| $1 Exacta (1-4)
Paid $119.00 |
| $1 Trifecta
(1-4-12) Paid $1,380.60 |
Aqueduct
|
Daily Selections
The Paumonok Handicap |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Aqueduct |
8 |
2 |
Bishop Court Hill |
|
Aqueduct |
8 |
3 |
Redskin Warrior |
|
Aqueduct |
8 |
4 |
Spooky Mulder |
|
Aqueduct
|
8
|
5
|
Banjo Picker
|
|
Aqueduct |
8 |
7 |
Wild Jam |
| The Paumonok Handicap is a six furlong sprint for three year-olds
and up, contested for a purse of $65,000. Most of these have
raced against each other at one time or another, so we have a good
idea how today's race will set up. Banjo Picker and Spooky
Mulder are threats by virtue of their great early speed. Todd
Pletcher enters Bishop Court Hill, a major danger from just off the
pace. Redskin Warrior and Wild Jam will be gaining in the
stretch. All in all, we've got a close race on our hands. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Aqueduct Race 8 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$4 Exacta 2/3/4 with 2/3/4/7 ($36)
$1 Trifecta 2/3 with ALL with 2/3 ($8)
Total Wagers $44
Total Payout $84 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$2 Exacta 2/3/4 with 2/3/4/7 ($18)
Total Wagers $18
Total Payout $42 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 3 Year
Olds And Up Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
2 |
Bishop Court
Hill |
Santos J A |
115 |
7.60 |
4.70 |
2.80 |
|
4 |
Spooky Mulder |
Luzzi M J |
114 |
|
6.10 |
3.20 |
|
7 |
Wild Jam |
Dominguez R A |
116 |
|
|
2.20 |
| Finish Time:
1:09.47 |
|
| Scratched: Banjo
Picker |
| Also ran: Pioneer
Empire, Super Fuse and Redskin Warrior |
| Winning Trainer:
Pletcher Todd A - Owner: Melnyk Racing Stables, Inc. |
| $2 Exacta (2-4)
Paid $42.00 |
| $2 Trifecta
(2-4-7) Paid $94.50 |
Oaklawn Park
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Oaklawn Park |
2 |
1 |
D Fine Okie |
|
Oaklawn Park |
2 |
3 |
Dimple Pinch |
|
Oaklawn Park |
2 |
4 |
Humboldt Belle |
|
Oaklawn Park |
2 |
5 |
Lady Carmen |
|
Synopsis Oaklawn Park Race 2 |
| The 2nd at Oaklawn is a 6 furlong sprint for fillies &
mares four year-olds and up to be run under allowance conditions.
The field is short with only six contestants, and it is fairly weak
for allowance conditions. The top candidates for the win are D
Fine Okie, Humboldt Belle and Lady Carmen. Lady Carmen has experienced
mild success in minor stakes at Lone Star and Retama for trainer Steve
Asmussen, and she fits in this group. D Fine Okie is 3 for 4 on
the dirt, all at Remington Park in Oklahoma, and is a threat from the
Donnie Von Hemel barn. Humboldt Belle is handled by Tom Amoss
and is fresh off a victory in first level allowance conditions at
Louisiana Downs. Today's winner will be one of these three.
Dimple Pinch is a mild threat on back class but probably needs a race
or two. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Oaklawn Park Race 2 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$4 Exacta 4/5 with ALL ($40)
$2 Trifecta 4/5 with ALL with 1 ($16)
Total Wagers $56
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Exacta 4/5 with ALL ($10)
$2 Trifecta 4/5 with ALL with 1 ($16)
Total Wagers $26
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 4 Year
Olds And Up Allowance Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
3 |
Dimple Pinch |
Martinez S B |
119 |
7.60 |
4.40 |
3.00 |
|
4 |
Humboldt
Belle |
Graham J |
122 |
|
3.80 |
2.80 |
|
1 |
D Fine Okie |
Pettinger D R |
118 |
|
|
3.20 |
| Finish Time:
1:12.68 |
|
| Also ran: Lady
Carmen |
| Winning Trainer:
Robertson McLean - Owner: Homewrecker Racing LLC and Robertson, Hugh
|
| $2 Exacta (3-4)
Paid $25.80 |
| $1 Trifecta
(3-4-1) Paid $44.50 |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Oaklawn Park |
7 |
2 |
Ticklish Will |
|
Oaklawn Park |
7 |
3 |
Music School |
|
Oaklawn Park |
7 |
5 |
Wild World |
|
Oaklawn Park |
7 |
6 |
Groovy Luck |
|
Oaklawn Park |
7 |
7 |
Grant County |
|
Synopsis Oaklawn Park Race 7 |
| The 7th at Oaklawn is a six panel dash for three
year-olds to be run under allowance optional claiming conditions,
awarding a purse of $33,000. I hesitate to call anybody a
standout in a field of recently turned three year-olds, but Groovy
Luck really is one. Ridden by the up and coming apprentice rider
Cody Meche, Groovy Luck coasted to a victory 14 days ago under these
same conditions, and who's going to stop him from repeating?
Maybe Ticklish Will, the runner-up to Groovy Luck January 14, but the
rider of Ticklish Will needed binoculars to see the hind end of Groovy
Luck in that one. The only hope for the rest of the field is
that Groovy Luck does not take to the footing on a sloppy track at
Oaklawn Park. Fighting for a piece of the exacta will be Ticklish
Will, Music School, Castles in the Sky, High Adventure, Grant County
and Wild World. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Oaklawn Park Race 7 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$15 Exacta 6 with 2 ($15)
$8 Exacta 6 with 3/5/7 ($24)
$1 Trifecta 6 with 2/3 with ALL ($12)
Total Wagers $51
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$10 Exacta 6 with 2 ($10)
$4 Exacta 6 with 3/5/7 ($12)
Total Wagers $22
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 3 Year
Olds Allowance Optional Claiming ($50,000) Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
4 |
High
Adventure |
Graham J |
118 |
14.00 |
5.60 |
4.20 |
|
6 |
Groovy Luck |
Meche C |
115 |
|
3.40 |
3.00 |
|
1 |
Out Scored |
McKee J |
122 |
|
|
6.40 |
| Finish Time:
1:12.89 |
|
| Scratched: Music
School |
| Also ran: Castles in
the Sky |
| Winning Trainer:
Werner Ronny - Owner: Mattox, Don and Pam |
| $2 Exacta (4-6)
Paid $59.60 |
| $1 Trifecta
(4-6-1) Paid $230.30 |
|
Oaklawn Park Daily Double |
|
Strategy
Oaklawn Park Daily Double (Races 9-10) |
|
We follow our race 9 and 10 analysis from below. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Oaklawn Park Daily Double (Races 9-10) |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$3 Daily Double 4/5/7 with 2/3/5 ($27)
Total Wagers $27
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$2 Daily Double 4/5/7 with 2/3/5 ($18)
Total Wagers $18
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
| Oaklawn
Park
Daily Double (Races 9-10)
|
| $2 Daily Double |
|
Daily Selections
The Dixie Belle Stakes |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Oaklawn Park
|
9
|
1
|
New Hope Seven
|
|
Oaklawn Park
|
9
|
2
|
Love the Beach
|
|
Oaklawn Park |
9 |
4 |
Gasia |
|
Oaklawn Park |
9 |
5 |
Lunargal |
|
Oaklawn Park |
9 |
6 |
Jazzy Okie |
|
Oaklawn Park |
9 |
7 |
Shimmering Sunset |
|
Synopsis Oaklawn Park Race 9 |
| The Dixie Belle Stakes is a six furlong sprint for
three year-old fillies, contested for a purse of $50,000. These
lassies may have some surprises up their sleeves, as their style &
talent level remain in flux. A top trainer is always a good
indicator, though, and Steve Asmussen & Cole Norman are two of the
best at any Oaklawn meet. Norman enters Love the Beach, runaway
winner of the Lady Razorback Futurity at Louisiana Downs. Love
the Beach has been on the sidelines for 121 days since the futurity,
sounding the faintest of alarms, but we trust Cole Norman and give
Love the Beach a big shot today. Steve Asmussen enters Lunargal
and Shimmering Sunset, Lunargal the winner of the Serena's Song at Zia
Park in New Mexico. Lunargal took five swings before connecting
for a home run at the maiden allowance level, a concern when trying to
step up in class. Shimmering Sunset is more interesting,
defeating New Hope Seven (also in today's field) in an optional
claimer, the third lifetime start for Shimmering Sunset. Tom
Amoss trains the aforementioned New Hope Seven, who has a pretty good
shot today as well. The Oklahoma-bred Jazzy Okie has done
everything asked of her, and looks good for the exotics. Gasia,
with only three lifetime starts, is promising and may fetch a price. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Oaklawn Park Race 9 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$2 Exacta 7 with ALL ($16)
Total Wagers $16
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
Total Wagers $0
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 3 Year
Olds Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
10 |
Wildcat
Bettie B |
Thompson T J |
114 |
6.80 |
4.40 |
3.60 |
|
11 |
Rich Fantasy |
Borel C H |
119 |
|
6.20 |
5.00 |
|
4 |
Gasia |
Melancon L |
117 |
|
|
5.00 |
| Finish Time:
1:12.54 |
|
| Scratched: Love the
Beach and New Hope Seven |
| Also ran: High
Heritage |
| Winning Trainer:
Jones J Larry - Owner: Oasis Racing Stable LLC |
| $2 Exacta (10-11)
Paid $34.40 |
| $1 Trifecta
(10-11-4) Paid $107.60 |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Oaklawn Park |
10 |
2 |
She's Wild |
|
Oaklawn Park |
10 |
3 |
Debs Jet |
|
Oaklawn Park |
10 |
5 |
Dasha |
|
Synopsis Oaklawn Park Race 10 |
| The finale at Oaklawn is a six furlong sprint to be
contested under starter allowance conditions. Dasha shows all
the right signs coming in, including a top trainer in Cole Norman, and
a light racing schedule with success at or near this level. Dasha will
be really tough here. Michael Campbell saddles She's Wild,
another major threat, although She's Wild is coming in off a route,
sometimes a problem in a sprint. Morris Nicks won at a 24% clip
in 2005, and he enters Debs Jett, a speedy sprinter with a chance
today. Deserving of honorable mention are R Nanee, Salty N
Sassy, Grassy Strip and Cinnamon Silk. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Oaklawn Park Race 10 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$6 Exacta 5 with 2/3/4/6/12 ($30)
$1 Trifecta 5 with ALL with 2/3 ($18)
Total Wagers $48
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Trifecta 5 with ALL with 2/3 ($18)
Total Wagers $18
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 4 Year
Olds And Up Starter Allowance ($10,000-) Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
8 |
Keosnative |
Quinonez L S |
118 |
12.20 |
6.60 |
4.40 |
|
12 |
Cinnamon Silk |
Johnson J M |
115 |
|
20.80 |
7.40 |
|
2 |
She's Wild |
Marquez C H Jr |
118 |
|
|
3.00 |
| Finish Time:
1:13.61 |
|
| Scratched: R Nanee |
| Also ran: Lady
Partee |
| Winning Trainer:
Petalino Joe - Owner: Dobbins Charles E. |
| $2 Exacta (8-12)
Paid $340.20 |
| $1 Trifecta
(8-12-2) Paid $683.30 |
Santa Anita
|
Strategy
Santa Anita Daily Double (Races 3-4) |
|
We follow our race 3 and 4 analysis from below. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Santa Anita Daily Double (Races 3-4) |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$30 Daily Double 1/6 with 12 ($60)
Total Wagers $60
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$10 Daily Double 1/6 with 12 ($20)
Total Wagers $20
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
| Santa Anita
Park
Daily Double (Races 3-4)
|
| $2 Daily Double (1-2) Paid $19.20 |
|
Daily Selections
The Sunshine Millions Dash |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Santa Anita |
3 |
1 |
Da Stoops |
|
Santa Anita |
3 |
6 |
Plagiarist |
|
Synopsis Santa Anita Race 3 |
| The Sunshine Millions Dash is a six furlong sprint for
three year-olds bred in California or Florida, all competing for a
purse of $250,000. The field is loaded with talent, and the top
two are hard to separate. Bob Baffert enters the brilliant
Cal-bred Da Stoops, winner of the California Breeders Cup Championship
and runner up in the Grade 1 Hollywood Prevue. Da Stoop was
ridden out in the Cal Breeders Cup in 121.6 for seven furlongs, that
gives you an idea of how fast this colt is, yet he is not a shoe-in
today. Doug O'Neil saddles his bright star, the Cal-bred
Plagiarist. Plagiarist registered an eye-opening 104 Beyer
figure in his debut, a maiden allowance, which also featured the very
talented Political Maneuver. Plagiarist set fractions of 44.4
and 56.4 on route to a six furlongs time of 108.8, all this in his
first race, pretty scary. Others to watch in the Dash are the
Fla-breds In Summation and Changing Weather, talented in their own
right, but up against it in California. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Santa Anita Race 3 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$25 Exacta Box 1/6 ($50)
$3 Trifecta 1/6 with 1/6 with 5/7/8 ($18)
Total Wagers $68
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$10 Exacta Box 1/6 ($20)
$1 Trifecta 1/6 with 1/6 with 5/7/8 ($6)
Total Wagers $26
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 3 Year
Olds Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
1 |
Da Stoops |
Espinoza V |
120 |
4.60 |
3.40 |
2.60 |
|
8 |
Changing
Weather |
Flores D R |
120 |
|
8.60 |
5.40 |
|
5 |
Brite
Maneuvers |
Nakatani C S |
120 |
|
|
4.80 |
| Finish Time:
1:08.94 |
|
| Also ran: Dinner
Magic, In Summation, Corazondelcampeon, Rattlesnake Joe and Plagiarist |
| Winning Trainer:
Baffert Bob - Owner: Watson and Weitman Performances LLC
|
| $1 Exacta (1-8)
Paid $27.50 |
| $1 Trifecta
(1-8-5) Paid $166.30 |
|
Daily Selections
The Sunshine Millions Filly & Mare Sprint Stakes |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Santa Anita |
4 |
8 |
Thrilling Victory |
|
Santa Anita
|
4
|
9
|
Alphabet Kisses
|
|
Santa Anita
|
4
|
10
|
Leave Me Alone
|
|
Santa Anita |
4 |
12 |
Western Hemisphere |
|
Updated Synopsis
Santa Anita Race 4 |
The Sunshine Millions Filly & Mare Sprint Stakes is a
six furlong dash for fillies & mares four year-olds and up bred in
California or Florida, to be contested for a purse of $300,000.
Several of these talented fillies & mares have spent a great deal of
time on the sidelines, only to return to big time racing. The
Cal-bred Western Hemisphere is a prime example, this her 4th start
after a 13 month layoff, and in her last she won the Kalookan Queen
Handicap with a 104 Beyer figure, ridden out to the wire.
Trained by Bob Baffert, Western Hemisphere has only 12 lifetime
starts, 6 were on the dirt, but the five year-old mare is racing
extremely well. The Cal-bred Alphabet Kisses, another top
talent, returned from a 4 month layoff to run 3rd in an open allowance
sprint, and that should serve her well as a prep for today's race.
Alphabet Kisses is a winner of a Grade 2 stakes and several Cal-bred
stakes, and she is again a major threat although there is some
uncertainty concerning her present condition. The four year-old
Cal-bred Leave Me Alone fought tooth and nail with several of the top
three year-olds in the country in 2005, and she captured the Grade 1
Test at Saratoga in the process. More recently, she ran a
determined 2nd in the Grade 1 La Brea behind runaway winner Pussycat
Doll. Today look for another top effort from Leave Me Alone.
Deserving of honorable mention are Cal-breds Thrilling Victory and
Aclevershadeofjade and Fla-breds Hot Storm and Double D Appeal.
Update
The late scratches of Alphabet Kisses and Leave Me Alone open the door
for Western Hemisphere to control the outcome. |
|
Updated Wager Recommendation
Santa Anita Race 4 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$50 Win 12 ($50)
$8 Exacta 12 with 2/6/8 ($24)
Total Wagers $74
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$20 Win 12 ($20)
$3 Exacta 12 with 2/6/8 ($9)
Total Wagers $29
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 6 Furlongs. 4 Year
Olds And Up Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
2 |
Hot Storm |
Flores D R |
121 |
8.00 |
3.00 |
2.60 |
|
12 |
Western
Hemisphere |
Espinoza V |
122 |
|
2.40 |
2.20 |
|
8 |
Thrilling
Victory |
Pedroza M A |
121 |
|
|
3.00 |
| Finish Time:
1:09.44 |
|
| Scratched: Abounding
Truth, Allswellthatnswell, Alphabet Kisses and Leave Me Alone |
| Also ran: Da
Svedonya |
| Winning Trainer:
Stewart Dallas - Owner: Adams Robert A. |
| $1 Exacta (2-12)
Paid $8.20 |
| $1 Trifecta
(2-12-8) Paid $29.80 |
|
Strategy
Santa Anita Daily Double (Races 5-6) |
|
We follow our race 5 and 6 analysis from below. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Santa Anita Daily Double (Races 5-6) |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$3 Daily Double 2/6/9/11 with 2/7/8/10 ($48)
Total Wagers $48
Total Payout $28.20 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$2 Daily Double 2/6/9/11 with 2/7/8/10 ($32)
Total Wagers $32
Total Payout $18.80 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
| Santa Anita
Park
Daily Double (Races 5-6)
|
| $2 Daily Double (6-2) Paid $18.80 |
|
Daily Selections
The Sunshine Millions Warrren's Filly & Mare Turf |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Santa Anita |
5 |
2 |
Valentine Dancer |
|
Santa Anita |
5 |
6 |
Moscow Burning |
|
Santa Anita |
5 |
9 |
Vous |
|
Santa Anita |
5 |
11 |
Formal Miss |
|
Synopsis Santa Anita Race 5 |
| The Sunshine Millions Warrren's Thoroughbred Filly &
Mare Turf is to be contested at a mile and an eighth by fillies &
mares four year-olds and up bred in California or Florida, competing
for a purse of $500,000. Cal-bred Valentine Dancer, trained by
Craig Lewis, developed into one of the state's premier grass runners
in 2005, but has fallen on hard times recently. After multiple
stakes victories in 2005 and several graded stakes placings, Valentine
Dancer ran second as odds-on favorite in a state-bred turf stakes at
Del Mar, and recently in the Cal Cup Distaff she finished a distant
11th beaten over seven lengths. On the positive side, her talent
is topflight, she sports a full line of solid works, and regular rider
Jon Court gets the mount. Cal-bred Moscow Burning has been the
premier California grass specialist in her division for a good two
years now, and she returned in good order from a 10 1/2 month
freshening to capture the 1 1/4 mile Cal Cup Distaff on the turf.
In her next race, a Grade 2 turf event at Calder, Moscow Burning ran
5th, evoking a mild concern she may have been asked to do much too
early upon her return, but she remains a big threat. The
Cal-bred Dancing General has only 6 lifetime starts, 2 of them on the
grass, but has shown great promise including a 2nd place finish to
Moscow Burning in the Cal Cup Distaff, although today will be a
tougher test. Other contenders include the Cal-breds Beneficial
Bartok & First Draft, and the Fla-breds Vous & Formal Miss. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Santa Anita Race 5 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$2 Exacta 6/11 with ALL ($44)
$1 Trifecta 11 with 6 with ALL ($10)
Total Wagers $54
Total Payout $26 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Exacta 6/11 with ALL ($22)
Total Wagers $22
Total Payout $13 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 1/8 Miles. (Turf)
4 Year Olds And Up Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
6 |
Moscow
Burning |
Flores D R |
122 |
4.60 |
3.20 |
2.60 |
|
10 |
Beneficial
Bartok |
Cohen D |
122 |
|
4.80 |
3.40 |
|
12 |
Charmsil |
Pedroza M A |
120 |
|
|
5.20 |
| Finish Time:
1:48.39 |
|
| Scratched: Brave
Vixen and Dancing General |
| Also ran: First
Draft |
| Winning Trainer:
Cassidy James - Owner: Bullseye Racing |
| $1 Exacta (6-10)
Paid $13.00 |
| $1 Trifecta
(6-10-12) Paid $148.40 |
|
Daily Selections
The Sunshine Millions Classic |
|
Track |
Race |
Key Horse |
Horse Name |
|
Santa Anita |
6 |
2 |
Lava Man |
|
Santa Anita |
6 |
7 |
Desert Boom |
|
Santa Anita |
6 |
8 |
Super Strut |
|
Santa Anita |
6 |
10 |
Buzzards Bay |
|
Synopsis Santa Anita Race 6 |
| The Sunshine Millions Classic is open to four
year-olds and up bred in California (registered with CTBA) or Florida
(registered with FTBOA), and will be contested at a mile and an eighth
on the dirt for a purse of $1,000,000. Art Sherman is not a
nationally known trainer, except in racing circles (he won 30% of his
races in 2005), but he has been brilliant in the handling of his
steady star Cal-bred Desert Boom. Sherman always seems to know
exactly what he can expect from Desert Boom and that is all he asks of
him, Desert Boom is going to be well prepared for the Classic and can
win in the right circumstances. Another well prepared horse is
Buzzards Bay, of 2005 Santa Anita fame (he won at odds of 30 to 1).
Ron Ellis has Buzzards Bay posting bullet after bullet on the workout
line, and Garrett Gomez rides. Gomez is critical in that
Buzzards Bay will get fast fractions to take aim at today, and Gomez
is an expert at guiding a late runner through the inevitable traffic.
Look for a topflight performance from Buzzards Bay. Several in
the Classic field have exhibited brilliant speed up to a mile, these
include Texcess, Lava Man, B.B. Best, Wild Buddy (on the grass), Proud
Tower Too, Trickey Trevor and McCann's Mojave. Any of these
could take the prize, but most will be competing for 2nd and 3rd place
money. Lava Man has been brilliant at times but he is in the
midst of a dry spell, look for Doug O'Neil to up the anty with Lava
Man today. |
|
Wager Recommendation
Santa Anita Race 6 |
|
For "Deep Pockets" Bettors
$2 Exacta 7/10 with ALL ($44)
$1 Trifecta Box 2/7/8/10 ($24)
Total Wagers $68
Total Payout $0 |
|
For "Lighter" Bettors
$1 Exacta 7/10 with ALL ($22)
Total Wagers $22
Total Payout $0 |
|
Horse-Race-Handicapping.Com |
|
|
| 1 1/8 Miles. 4 Year
Olds And Up Stakes Purse: |
|
# |
Horse |
Jockey |
Weight |
Win |
Place |
Show |
|
2 |
Lava Man |
Nakatani C S |
122 |
7.80 |
5.40 |
4.40 |
|
6 |
Whos Crying
Now |
Velasquez C |
122 |
|
9.60 |
6.20 |
|
1 |
Texcess |
Desormeaux K J |
120 |
|
|
7.60 |
| Finish Time:
1:49.98 |
|
| Scratched: Always
Noble and Calkins Road |
| Also ran: Buzzards
Bay, Supervisor and McCann's Mojave |
| Winning Trainer:
O'Neill Doug - Owner: STD Racing Stable and Wood, Jason
|
| $1 Exacta (2-6)
Paid $47.70 |
| $1 Trifecta
(2-6-1) Paid $514.70 |
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Horse-Race-Handicapping.com
|
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